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Subject: Re: ELO fails at the extremes

Author: KarinsDad

Date: 21:39:27 01/31/99

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On January 31, 1999 at 17:35:43, Robert Hyatt wrote:

[snip]
>
>
>All of the Elo analysis is based on the 'normal curve'... which absolutely
>says that a 2600 player can lose a 10 game match 10-0 to a 1000 player.  The
>odds aren't very good, to be sure, but the probability is not 'zero'...
>
>which is probably the point of the whole discussion?

Of course it is never zero. My point in the discussion is that the curve is too
broad (i.e. the percentage chances are too high at the extremes).

KarinsDad



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