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Subject: Re: Moore's Law coming to an end?

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 15:39:02 04/21/05

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On April 20, 2005 at 23:55:57, Ricardo Gibert wrote:

>On April 20, 2005 at 15:46:00, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>On April 20, 2005 at 05:32:24, Ricardo Gibert wrote:
>>
>>>On April 20, 2005 at 02:48:05, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 20, 2005 at 01:35:32, Robin Smith wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On April 18, 2005 at 21:05:10, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>I doubt very much if Moore's law will quit in less than 100 years.
>>>>>
>>>>>You can't be serious.
>>>>
>>>>Serious as cancer.
>>>>
>>>>Not that we'll be using ICs in 100 years.  They will look like relays would look
>>>>today for a computing machine, I am sure.
>>>
>>>Moore's law has to do with feature size and if you do a calculation assuming
>>>Moore's law holds out for 100 years, you will perhaps determine the feature size
>>>to be smaller than a quark, which is rather improbable.
>>
>>Currently, ICs have two dimentions.  If you move to another dimention, you gain
>>a lot more real estate.
>>
>>>What is relevant is function and capacity. For example, moving from base 2 logic
>>>to base 4 would double function and capacity while leaving feature size the
>>>same. BTW, isn't DNA base 4? If so, not an unreasonable idea I would say.
>>
>>I saw an analysis once that said base e was the densest possible storage.
>>
>>Base 3 is closer than base 4, so it might be more dense.  Can't say for sure, as
>>I do not recall the analysis exactly.
>
>I wasn't able to find anything about that. I didn't try that hard, however. If
>you can find a reference, it would be nice.

http://www.americanscientist.org/content/AMSCI/AMSCI/ArticleAltFormat/20035214317_146.pdf

>As the following link shows, MultiValued Logic (MVL) is not only an active area
>of research, it is possible to have it used in a computer anyone can buy. It
>says that 4-valued logic is being used in some of the higher capacity DRAMs:
>
>http://web.it.kth.se/~elena/PAPERS/NORCHIP99b.pdf
>
>>
>>It should be easy enough to create base 3 circuits, since you would have +, 0
>>and - as natural states.



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