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Subject: Re: Moore's Law coming to an end?

Author: Dieter Buerssner

Date: 12:24:47 04/25/05

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On April 21, 2005 at 18:39:02, Dann Corbit wrote:

>http://www.americanscientist.org/content/AMSCI/AMSCI/ArticleAltFormat/20035214317_146.pdf

Thanks for the link, Dann. I did not have time yet, to read it very carefully,
but I looked over it. It seems to boil down to the method, how to define storage
needs. "r*w" is given in the paper. I am not sure yet, whether I agree, that
this is a sensible definition. Say, I want to store the number 255. In base 2,
this gives 8*2=16. In  base 16 this gives 2*16=32, clearly worse. But we know
already, that a base 16 digit can be stored with a device, that only needs 4
base 2 digits. So, assuming a multiplier of 16 here does not look right.

Or assume another device. Say a hydrogen atom. The ground state shall be 0,
excited state shall be 1. (Of course, it will not be easy, to prepare a hydrogen
atom, that stays in excited state ...). We will need this one hydrogen atom to
store a binary digit. But there are many excited states. If we could prepare and
distinguish several excited states, the space would not change.

Or look at written language. Sure this is is a bit far fetched ... We could note
binary numbers and use characters "0" and "1". But with the same space we could
use all upper and lower case letters, and also all digits, and many more glyphs,
that are easily distiguishable. So we easily get base 256 or so (Chinise people
would estimate a much larger base) with practically the same space. Making the
space needed proportional to the base would be like saying: Write the (decimal)
digit nine 111111111 and the decimal digit one as ........1
If we really design the storage device in this way, base three will be most
efficient. To me, this assumptions looks rather arbitrarily, and away from
practice.

Regards,
Dieter



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