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Subject: Re: Toga II 1.0 Test (40'/40) After 550 games / 11 Matches

Author: Greg Simpson

Date: 01:29:33 09/04/05

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Very interesting test.  I combined your Toga 1.0 test with your Fruit 2.1 test,
ran them through Bayeselo, and got the following tables:

Ratings:
Rank Name               Elo    +    - games score draws
   1 Toga II 1.0       2577   25   25   550   61%   29%
   2 Fritz 8           2558   64   64    80   48%   32%
   3 Fruit 2.1         2554   33   33   300   58%   31%
   4 The King 3.33     2533   64   65    80   45%   30%
   5 Chess Tiger 15.0  2532   62   63    80   45%   37%
   6 Junior 9          2512   66   67    80   43%   23%
   7 Shredder 9        2489   64   66    80   39%   31%
   8 Hiarcs 9          2481   64   66    80   38%   31%
   9 Spike 1.0 Mainz   2472   81   85    50   36%   32%
  10 Gandalf 6.0       2471   82   86    50   36%   28%
  11 Ruffian 2.1.0     2464   67   70    80   36%   21%
  12 List 512          2457   65   67    80   35%   30%
  13 Toga II 0.93      2454  100  106    30   35%   43%
  14 Aristarch 4.50    2438   65   68    80   32%   30%

Likelihood of superiority:
                  To Fr Fr Th Ch Ju Sh Hi Sp Ga Ru Li To Ar
Toga II 1.0          69 81 88 89 95 99 99 98 98 99 99 97 99
Fritz 8           30    53 68 69 81 91 93 92 92 96 97 93 99
Fruit 2.1         18 46    71 71 85 95 96 94 94 98 99 96 99
The King 3.33     11 31 28    50 65 80 84 85 85 90 93 87 96
Chess Tiger 15.0  10 30 28 49    65 80 84 85 85 90 93 87 96
Junior 9           4 18 14 34 34    67 72 75 75 81 85 80 92
Shredder 9         0  8  4 19 19 32    56 61 61 68 73 69 83
Hiarcs 9           0  6  3 15 15 27 43    56 56 62 67 65 79
Spike 1.0 Mainz    1  7  5 14 14 24 38 43    50 55 59 59 71
Gandalf 6.0        1  7  5 14 14 24 38 43 49    54 59 59 71
Ruffian 2.1.0      0  3  1  9  9 18 31 37 44 45    55 56 69
List 512           0  2  0  6  6 14 26 32 40 40 44    52 64
Toga II 0.93       2  6  3 12 12 19 30 34 40 40 43 47    58
Aristarch 4.50     0  0  0  3  3  7 16 20 28 28 30 35 41

I'm not too certain how much to trust the second one.



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