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Subject: Re: WHY?

Author: Pat King

Date: 07:32:03 03/18/99

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On March 18, 1999 at 09:21:01, Albert Silver wrote:

>On March 18, 1999 at 05:30:33, Charles Unruh wrote:
>
>>  If Kasparov beat GM Ashley 6 games in a row what would it say about his chess?
>>  If Yermo beat H7 6 times in a row what would it say about it's chess?
>>  H7 needs to play a 2500 GM.  Why?  Because we(most of us speculate the comps
>>are around 2500-2550 no one(few) expect that progs are 2600+
>
>If the program does indeed play at 2500 then it should hardly lose 6-0 but more
>like 4-2.

It's expected score may be 4-2, but a 6-0 loss would not be significant. Just as
if I flip a coin 6 times, and get heads 4 or 5 times instead of 3 times, I
cannot draw a conclusion about the "fairness" of the coin. The sample size is
just too small.

A more even match with an expected outcome of 3-3 MIGHT let one say something
definitive in the event of a 6-0 rout.





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