Author: KarinsDad
Date: 05:30:30 03/22/99
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On March 21, 1999 at 10:37:12, David Paulowich wrote: >Since returning to Canadian tournaments in 1997, I find that almost anything >can happen in chess. I have a rating of 1875, but: > not a single loss to anyone up to 1899 > 1 draw (opponent rated 1858) > 9 wins (opponents 1600 to 1849) > more wins against even lower rated opponents. > >These were regular games with time limits of five or six hours. They are >balanced by terrible results against players above 1900. > >Yours, >David Paulowich David, You are correct. Strange things can happen in chess and there are people who are extrememly consistent (Charles and yourself as examples). The point was not that it cannot happen (it can), the point is that it does not happen for most people (as per Charles' message of knowing hundreds and they average 1 loss per 30 or 40 games per individual 150+ points below them). You'll note that on this server where there are hundreds of people reading the posts, yet you are the only one who responded "Yes, this has happened to me as well". KarinsDad :) > > >On March 18, 1999 at 14:06:16, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >(in reply to a post by Charles Unruh) > >> >> >>While I obviously won't argue with your 'data', you are a 100-sigma deviation >>from the normal curve as defined by Elo. IE first, how many players have you >>played 150 points below you? if you have played 20 and lost none, that is a >>remarkable (and highly non-repeatable for most others) result. >> >>Because in a match, with a player 200 points lower, you should expect to lose >>1 or draw 2 of every 4 games... roughly... >> >>And that is just simple statistics based on the Elo rating system..
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