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Subject: Re: Never lost or drawn a game against a 150pt lesser player in 155 games

Author: David Paulowich

Date: 07:37:12 03/21/99

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Since returning to Canadian tournaments in 1997, I find that almost anything
can happen in chess.  I have a rating of 1875, but:
 not a single loss to anyone up to 1899
 1 draw (opponent rated 1858)
 9 wins (opponents 1600 to 1849)
 more wins against even lower rated opponents.

These were regular games with time limits of five or six hours.  They are
balanced by terrible results against players above 1900.

Yours,
David Paulowich


On March 18, 1999 at 14:06:16, Robert Hyatt wrote:

(in reply to a post by Charles Unruh)

>
>
>While I obviously won't argue with your 'data', you are a 100-sigma deviation
>from the normal curve as defined by Elo.  IE first, how many players have you
>played 150 points below you?  if you have played 20 and lost none, that is a
>remarkable (and highly non-repeatable for most others) result.
>
>Because in a match, with a player 200 points lower, you should expect to lose
>1 or draw 2 of every 4 games... roughly...
>
>And that is just simple statistics based on the Elo rating system..



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