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Subject: Re: WCCC 1999 Pairings

Author: Dave Gomboc

Date: 23:06:16 06/08/99

Go up one level in this thread


On June 09, 1999 at 01:09:33, Ed Schröder wrote:

>On June 08, 1999 at 23:00:55, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>
>>On June 08, 1999 at 18:21:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On June 08, 1999 at 13:51:13, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>>>
>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 12:44:04, José de Jesús García Ruvalcaba wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 09:36:12, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 08:13:55, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 03:00:22, Bruce Moreland wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On June 08, 1999 at 01:36:33, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>The web page http://www.uni-paderborn.de/~wccc99/ reports that standard
>>>>>>>>>(non-accelerated) pairings will be used, but from my conversation with some of
>>>>>>>>>the ICCA executive, they do intend to use accelerated pairings (mainly because
>>>>>>>>>it will force more games to be played between the strongest opponents.)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>So I am writing this so that everyone is not shocked when they get there. :-)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I predict a big fight.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>bruce
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I don't know who the TD is, but you can tell him for me that this is _stupid_.
>>>>>>>All he has to do is ask _any_ legitimate TD and he'll discover that accelerated
>>>>>>>pairings are _wrong_ when you have more than log2(players) rounds.  And since
>>>>>>>2^7 (7 rounds) is > number of players, this is useless...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Some people never learn.  Or they refuse to learn.  :)
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I specifically gave this argument, Bob.  But David Levy replied that they wanted
>>>>>>to maximize the number of games between strong opponents, and that using
>>>>>>accelerated pairings would do that.  I went and researched this a bit, and
>>>>>>here's what I found in the Chess Federation of Canada handbook (at
>>>>>>"http://www.chess.ca/section6"):
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Accelerated Methods of Pairing Early Rounds (Variations)
>>>>>>
>>>>>>633. In a tournament where the players-to-rounds ratio exceeds the optimum
>>>>>>(16:4, 32:5, 64:6, etc.), the chances of producing a clear winner are decreased.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Accelerated pairings increase the frequency of meeting of the higher ranked
>>>>>>players and are therefore also useful in longer tournaments where the winner is
>>>>>>unlikely to have a perfect score.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The effect of these variations decreases when the players are of about the same
>>>>>>playing strength (as in a tournament divided into sections by playing strength).
>>>>>>
>>>>>>[after this, specific VARIATIONS 633.1 and 633.2 are discussed]
>>>>>>
>>>>>>They are using accelerated pairings to "increase the frequency of meetings of
>>>>>>the higher ranked players" because that is "useful in longer tournaments where
>>>>>>the winner is unlikely to have a perfect score."  I thought about it, decided
>>>>>>that this description fit the WCCC very well, and consequently was persuaded by
>>>>>>David's argument.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Dave
>>>>>
>>>>>	What I most dislike is that nobody knows which are the strongest entries, so I
>>>>>do not see how the accelerated pairings will help to match them more frequently.
>>>>>	I think one of the premises for accelerated pairings to work is to have a good
>>>>>ranking of the players, like an established ratings list. But I remember
>>>>>somebody said that in these tournaments the entries are ranked according to the
>>>>>TD's guesses. I do not think that is a good ranking.
>>>>>José.
>>>>
>>>>There's plenty of background material to rank the players on, including the
>>>>result of previous tournaments and, for some entrants, the SSDF list.  It's not
>>>>as good as it would be in a human tournament, but it is acceptable.
>>>>
>>>>One time I played in the Quebec open: they use a different rating system in
>>>>Quebec (FQE) than in the rest of Canada.  So they took my 1927 CFC rating and
>>>>subtracted 100 points, and paired me as an 1827.  The young 2100+ FQE player who
>>>>I beat left without resigning in person: I went to look for him, and found him
>>>>crying in another room.  How could he have known that I was a little bit better
>>>>than a weak 'A' player?  I was already underrated at 1927, and there apparently
>>>>wasn't really a 100 point difference between the two rating systems. He went on
>>>>to became Quebec's junior champion the next year.
>>>>
>>>>Upsets happen, but since a reasonable ranking can be made before the event, it
>>>>is okay to use accelerated pairings.
>>>>
>>>>Dave
>>>
>>>
>>>You only have to go back to 1997's event to see why this isn't a great idea.
>>>By the time the final round gets there, all the top programs have _already_
>>>played.  And the tournament is essentially over.  you just move the final
>>>(important) rounds up one level by doing this...  and with < 32 teams, there
>>>is _no_ reason.  check the math on what happens if you have 16 weak programs,
>>>and 16 strong programs...  with 5, 6 and 7 rounds... with and without
>>>accelerating the pairings...
>>
>>If the goal is to find the appropriate winner, then 1997 was excellent.  Junior
>>played many strong programs, and no one was questioning its ability by the end
>>of the 11th round.  It was very clear that Ban and Bushinsky had a very good
>>program.
>>
>>We only have 7 rounds this time, so I think there will be more suspense this
>>time around.  11 rounds for ~32 players might not have left any suspense even in
>>a regular swiss, Bob.
>>
>>I know that it's not the standard practice for accelerated pairings to be used
>>where I play chess unless the 16:4, 32:5, 64:6 entrants-to-rounds ratio is
>>oversubscribed, but this is probably something that David Levy picked up in his
>>internation chess playing experience (he is an IM after all, as I know you are
>>aware of).  But it isn't just an off-the-cuff decision, it is being made
>>deliberately with the understanding of the factors involved.  To me, the
>>tournament will be either the same or slightly better because of it, so why not
>>do it?  I don't think it will lead to a disaster, though maybe some commercial
>>entrants will dislike it because they could be knocked out of contention for
>>first place in round one instead of round two (big deal).
>>
>>Dave
>
>Accelerated pairings was introduced in Madrid 1992. And that tournament
>had only 5 rounds. Go figure. It's a bad ICCA policy but they won't listen.
>
>The only plus is that it will make the tournament more attractive as
>there will be a lot more games between the favorite programs but maybe
>that is just the goal, a nice show.
>
>Ed Schroder

It disturbs me that they "won't listen"... if a large majority of the entrants
prefers non-accelerated pairings, I think that they should be used, any
technical merits or demerits notwithstanding.  Isn't there a meeting where this
sort of thing is discussed before the competition gets under way?

Dave



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