Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 06:15:49 06/09/99
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On June 08, 1999 at 17:31:47, Christoph Fieberg wrote: >Humans are far away from playing perfect chess but computers will come more and >more closer to it. At the turn of the century the best computer (Deep Blue) and >the best human (G. Kasparov) are roughly at the same level of about Elo 2800. I >assume that this will not last very long and that in the next 20 years the best >computer (X1) will score 80% against the best human meaning that will see chess >at Elo level 3040. > >I could imagine that if chess software and computer hardware will steadly be >improved one of the next chess computer generation (X2) will beat the >predecessor (X1) finally also with a 80% score pushing the Elo level up to 3280. > >X3 will do the same with X2 (Elo level then 3520), X4 will do the same with X3 >(Elo level then 3760) and so on and so on. X5 reachs Elo 4000 and after some >hundred years X30 will gain Elo 10000! > >If it was ever possible that computers played absolutely perfect chess the >MAXIMUM Elo number would be determined. > >The gnawing question is: HOW HIGH IS THE MAXIMUM ELO NUMBER? > >Or in other words: How far are humans and computers away from playing perfect >chess? > >Regards, >Christoph Fieberg The maximum Elo number is _already_ known. It looks like the number "8" but it is laying on its side... :)
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