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Subject: Re: I have cloned Ferret!--What if you exclude opening and forced moves?

Author: Charles Unruh

Date: 05:48:13 10/21/99

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On October 20, 1999 at 14:23:22, Roger D Davis wrote:

>About what percentage of agreement was there between chessmaster with its
>chessmaster personality and Ferret at the beginning? This is an important
>baseline.
>
>If it was 95%, then getting it up to 98% isn't that impressive. But if it was
>80%, then 98% is impressive, I would think.
>
>Also, are the 2% of moves that Ferret and the Ferret personality disagree
>blunders by the Ferret personality? How are these moves evaluated by Crafty, for
>example?


It's really been 99.9% over the 70 games only 2 or 3 different moves over the 70
games, but i know CM can't replicate  some things in the endgame such as B and N
mate so i say 98%.  I'm sure it could even be tweaked better than i have tweaked
it.
>
>There is also a "cross-validation" issue. The parameters you have for your
>Ferret personality now are optimized for the 70 Ferret games used. If you
>applied your Ferret personality to another sample of Ferret games, however, the
>percent of agreement can be expected to drop. How much is an empirical question.
>It might be significant, and it might not be. Would be interesting to apply your
>Ferret personality to another "random" sample of Ferret games, and to a sample
>of Ferret games with offbeat openings, so that you can get offbeat positions in
>which disagreements would arise, thus allowing you to optimize further.
>
>I would think there would be much interest in this, since Ferret is not a
>released program.
>
>Roger
>
>
>
>
>
>On October 20, 1999 at 12:23:19, Charles Unruh wrote:
>
>>On October 20, 1999 at 12:14:13, Roger D Davis wrote:
>>
>>>Interesting. Did you have a methodology for making the adjustments, or was it by
>>>hand?  by hand
>>
>> What are the time controls at which Ferret's moves were reproduced?
>>
>>I used timestamped ferret games, and made sure that CM comes up with the move
>>+/- 3seconds of ferrets and then replay the game at the same time control, to
>>make sure the game is an exact duplicate.
>> What
>>>does the percentage drop to if you exclude opening moves and forced moved?
>>
>>I only use moves from when the progs are out of book.
>>
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>On October 20, 1999 at 10:57:44, Charles Unruh wrote:
>>>
>>>>I took over 70 games that ferret played, then i kept adjusting chessmasters
>>>>settings until it plays every move that ferret plays, with 98% accuracy.  I'll
>>>>trade the personality with someone who creates another clone.



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