Author: Chris Carson
Date: 08:16:26 01/21/00
Go up one level in this thread
On January 21, 2000 at 09:59:25, Leon Stancliff wrote: >On January 20, 2000 at 09:30:31, Chris Carson wrote: > >>On January 19, 2000 at 21:40:36, Leon Stancliff wrote: >> >>>Chris, >>> >>> I want to thank you for being objective on this computer-human discussion. The >>>die hards may die hard, but again I say, the figures tell the story. The only >>>unanswered question now is "How long before the competition becomes boring?" >> >>See: http://www.icdchess.com/ccc/message.html?90245 >> >>Thanks for the kind words. :) >> >>That is a good questions. My guess is 5 years and only the top 5 or >>10 GM's (in match play against one program that they can study up on) >>will have a plus record against the programs. I also think it is unlikely >>we will see this. IMHO, we will see more statements like Kasparov and Fritz, >>but it will refer to all time controls, not just Active. :) >> >>I think we might see more programs in League play, but we will see either >>the programs playing each other (like Junior vs Rebel in a recent league >>game) or the team will put it's lowest rated player against the program >>to avoid having the teams top player loose. :) >> >>The time of program vs GM equality is at hand, enjoy it now. I am. :) >> >>Just my opinion (plus $2 will get you a cup of coffee). :) >> >>What is your opinion? >> >>Best Regards, >>Chris Carson > >I find the whole issue fascinating. We no longer have races between automobiles >and humans, as once was the case. The time will come when we will no longer have >interest in the chess computer vs Grandmaster competition. It is impossible to >forecast the time which will be required for this decline of interest. > >I have drawn curves of computer rating versus speed. The doubling rate decreases >very fast when we get above 500 Mhz. Rather than being 60 Elo points per >doubling in computer speed, it gets down to perhaps 15 points. A 1 Ghz machine >will show very little Elo increase over a 600 Mhz. We do not have any >Grandmasters with more ability that the world champ. Thus we must depend upon >software and hardware efficiency. It looks like the computers have already >matched the average Grandmaster on the Fide list. It also looks like it will >take a L-O-N-G time to reach the top ten. Interesting work. You should post your curve, it would generate a lot of discussion. :) Best Regards, Chris Carson
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.