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Subject: Programs are already better than we give them credit for, IMO

Author: Pete R.

Date: 09:53:36 04/11/00

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On April 10, 2000 at 20:01:57, Jorge Pichard wrote:

>In tournament time control it will take a least another 3 Years for a P.C. Chess
>Software to be able to beat Kasparov in Tournament time control, only if by then
>either Intel or AMD organize an interesting Chess match which will encourage
>Kasparov to play against the best P.C. Chess Software then. I strongly believe
>that at least it will take a Dual 3 Ghz SMP To beat Kasparov.

I am quite sure that Kasparov has been "beaten" many times by his laptop,
whether it's running Fritz or Hiarcs or Junior.  That is, he tried a move he
thought was good, and the program refuted it handily.  That's the normal process
of working out lines and novelties with the computer, which he does a great
deal.  We already know that computers are superior at G/25 and similar controls.
My hypothesis is that the only way top humans can beat computers at tournament
time control now is that they know they are playing a computer, and so they play
to the unique weaknesses of the programs and avoid their strengths.  If the top
players thought they were playing humans, I believe they would get crushed more
often then not, and therefore the computers would have the higher ratings.  I
work through the top players' games all the time with computers, and they make
mistakes that a program would punish mercilessly.  I can't prove this hypothesis
since the required test scenario (fooling human GMs into thinking they are
playing other human GMs) would likely piss them off. ;)  In any case I believe
the computers would prove they are already superior at tournament controls under
such conditions, and top players currently beat them only by playing very
conservatively and attempting to address their known weaknesses.



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