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Subject: Re: Deep Junior now ranked 3rd for best chance of winning Dortmund.

Author: KarinsDad

Date: 09:09:41 07/11/00

Go up one level in this thread


On July 11, 2000 at 11:44:41, Mogens Larsen wrote:

>On July 11, 2000 at 11:37:11, KarinsDad wrote:
>
>>On July 11, 2000 at 11:24:33, Mark Young wrote:
>>
>>>www.kasparovchess.com/serve/templates/folders/show.asp?p_docID=8183&p_docLang=EN
>>>
>>>----clip from Kasparovchess.com-------
>>>
>>40% >Viswanathan Anand (2762, now at +2): 40% chance
>>14% >Michael Adams (2755, now at +2): 14% chance
>> 7% >Deep Junior (2740, now at +1): 7% chance
>> 5% >Peter Leko (2743, now at +1): Odds are 22 to 1 against
>> 3% >Vladimir Kramnik (2770, now even): Odds are 30 to 1 against
>> 1% >Evgeny Bareev (2702, now even): Odds are 100 to 1 against
>>    >Alexander Khalifman (2667, now at -1): Odds are 1,400 to 1 against
>>    >Vladimir Akopian (2660, now at -1): Odds are 19,000 to 1 against
>>    >Jeroen Piket (2649, now at -2): Odds are 190,000 to 1 against
>>    >Robert Huebner (2615, now at -2): Odds are 250,000 to 1 against
>>
>>70%  Total
>>
>>Who is the mysterious player with the other 30%?
>
>The rest is various permutations of shared first prize I assume.
>
>Best wishes...
>Mogens


Actually, I was just kidding.

However, the statistics look strange. For example, Adams and Anand have the
following players remaining:

Adams              Anand
-----              -----
B Anand          W Adams

W Leko           W Leko
B Huebner        B Huebner

B Akopian   1.5  B Kramnik     2.0
W Khalifman 1.5  W Deep Junior 2.5

Adams has already beaten Kramnik. This is Kramnik's first loss in 83 games. I
doubt he will lose to Anand, most likely a draw.

It appears that Adam's remaining opponents are slightly easier with the
exception of him having black against Anand. If he can draw that game, he can
possibly win the tournament.

KarinsDad :)



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