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Subject: Re: But Not Yet As Good As Deep Blue '97

Author: Graham Laight

Date: 15:13:04 07/17/00

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On July 17, 2000 at 16:09:09, Amir Ban wrote:

>On July 17, 2000 at 07:22:41, Graham Laight wrote:
>
>>I'm afraid I still feel that Junior could have come out ahead (instead of
>>level)in this tournament by beating Bareev and Khalifman - and possibly by not
>>losing with such apparent ease to Kramnik. Continuing the game against Anand
>>might possibly have gained an extra half point as well.
>>
>>I think that Amir has an aspiration to make his program demonstably better than
>>Deep Blue (this certainly comes across in his interviews published on the
>>Chessbase Website coverage of Dortmund (www.chessbase.com) before the Kramnik
>>game). If so, as a (hopefully!) impartial member of the viewing public, I'm
>>afraid to say that I've yet to be convinced.
>>
>>As evidence, I point firstly to the games against Bareev and Khalifman. On both
>>occasions when Deep Blue '97 gained an advantage over Gary Kasparov (who's a
>>better player than anyone at Dortmund was), it parlayed that advantage into
>>victory - whilst Deep Junior twice failed conspicuously to "slam in the lamb".
>>
>>I would also point to the game against Kramnik. Here we see Deep Junior lose
>>to a combination of blocked centre and king attack - classic anti computer
>>methods which have both been well known for a long time. They work because, in
>>this case, nothing short of truly massive search depth is going to help you to
>>make the correct moves.
>>
>>However, for both king attack and blocked centre, Deep Blue '97 demonstrated
>>that it's evaluation knowledge was able to adequately handle the challenge.
>>Indeed, in game 2 in '97, Deep Blue not only handled the blocked centre, it
>>turned it into a win!
>>
>>It took Deep Blue 2 attempts to beat Gary Kasparov, the world's best player -
>>maybe another year of work will push Deep Junior to a position where it can try
>>to win these tournaments, instead of settling for a middling position.
>>
>>But let's not be completely churlish - Dortmund 2000 was indeed a fantastic
>>performance by Deep Junior - and a landmark in computer chess history, since
>>here is both a computer and a program which one can buy in the shops!
>
>I disagree with most of this, but it's your opinion, and if experience teaches
>us anything, it's useless to argue.

I _do_ change my mind about things. For example, earlier this year there was a
debate about whether the SSDF ratings were inflated.

Here are the top 3 computers on the current (April 2000) list (using 450 MHz):

Computer    Rating   Error Margin
========    ======   ============

Fritz       2721     + - 38
Junior      2689     + - 30
Tiger       2671     + - 32

I admit it took quite a debate, but I'm now willing to concede that, compared to
FIDE ELO ratings, these ratings are too high. Also, I am now willing to admit
that a stronger performance against other computers does not necessarily mean a
stronger performance against top human players.

Sometimes, some people ARE willing to listen to what the others are saying!

>For the record, I'm not trying to prove that I'm better than Deep Blue. I think
>I've already shown this some time ago, and I'm not the only one who can say so
>either.

This may be true - but if it is than I, trying to be as impartial as I can be,
have to honestly say that it's not clear to me.

>Looking at the (very few) games of DB, I don't see that it had either better
>evaluation or deeper search than today's top programs.
>
>Amir

Fine - but at the risk of being repetitive, let me briefly restate the evidence
that points to it having better evaluation (and probably a deeper search):

* It won a 6 game exhibition against the greatest chess player in history
(Junior came "equal" in 9 games against lower rated opposition)

* Junior failed to win 2 games in which it had a significant advantage, wheras,
in 1997, once it was ahead, Deep Blue never failed to "slam in the lamb".

* Against Kramnik, Junior fell heavily to the blocked centre, and the king
attack. Deep Blue actually won one of its games from a blocked centre position
(game 2, '97).

As a mere hobby observer, you can surely see why I might not feel that Junior's
equality (or improvement) in evaluation or search depth have been clearly
demonstrated to me.

-g



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