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Subject: Re: Deep Junior has proved that Hardware is way Over-rated

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 19:26:22 07/18/00

Go up one level in this thread


On July 18, 2000 at 18:53:39, Jerry Adams wrote:

>On July 18, 2000 at 18:14:51, Rajen Gupta wrote:
>
>>On July 18, 2000 at 13:39:01, Jerry Adams wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> I doubt if DeepBlue with all it's billions of calculations per second could
>>>score much better than DeepJunior at Dortmund. Seem it is a bad day for the
>>>Advocates of "Hardware is everything" Theory. Deepblue could probally Easily
>>>Defeat DeepJr in a Match, but against humans the story is different. I hope
>>>programmers Continue to Develope Software and not sit back lazily waiting for
>>>Hardware to do all the work.
>>
>>Hi jerry:you obviously have got the gist of your message mixed up:it is
>>essentially hardware that is powering junior to such great levels; just as it
>>was the deeper blue 2 with 3-4 times as powerful hardware as db 1 which finally
>>manged to thrash kasparov.
>>
>>you don't really believe that junior 6 on a single pentium 600 with 64 megs of
>>ram would have gone anywhere do you?
>>
>>rajen gupta
>
>  Well Actually, Yes I do!! If you look at the Rebel Grandmaster challenge
>series you will notice that not only Did Rebel Draw 2750 rated annand

And what was the time control for the Anand win?  Did you happen to miss that?

>but it
>also defeated two very strong grandmasters! The Annand game was on K62-450
>hardware, the others on k63-600.  I am not sure that We know  exactly How much
>Programs actually gain from hardware increases when matched against humans. I
>think it is pretty well established that they gain ,no one knows exactly how
>well junior6 would have performed on a pent600.

>I noticed on my pentIII600
>Junior 6 found a significant amount of the moves from dortmund that Deepjr
>Played, and this was achieved within Standard tournament time controls. My
>opinion is that even the most Knowledable Computer Chess Scientist can only
>guess, when it comes to Elo ratings of computers, how much Hardware means, ect,
>etc,

You're probably correct there, but it's an _educated_ guess of 50-70 ELO per
doubling of CPU.  That means an ELO difference of (estimate 60)*8 = 540 *
.75(smp loss) = 405 ELO.  That's probably too high, but it's probably not off by
more than a factor of 2 in either direction (WAG).

>I think there are alot of unknowns in computer chess, Which makes it so
>incredibly interesting.

To me, it's causing the unknowns to become more certain that is interesting.



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