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Subject: Re: Faster, deeper and more of such...

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 00:35:01 09/15/00

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On September 15, 2000 at 01:23:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On September 14, 2000 at 23:39:29, walter irvin wrote:
>
>>On September 14, 2000 at 18:40:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On September 14, 2000 at 14:42:28, Dan Ellwein wrote:
>>>
>>>>On September 14, 2000 at 14:39:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On September 14, 2000 at 14:36:41, Christophe Theron wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On September 14, 2000 at 14:33:49, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On September 14, 2000 at 14:30:07, Dan Ellwein wrote:
>>>>>>>[SNIP]
>>>>>>>>I guess it would be impractical to run this test with opening book disabled...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>(startin' with the very first move have the computer think on its own)...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>but i wonder what the data would look like if you did...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>it may be that there would not be a cut-off at iteration 19...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>My guess is that in the first ten moves no program on earth can get to ply 19
>>>>>>>unless it does a ludicrous amount of speculative pruning.  Even 16 plies would
>>>>>>>be formidable.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>We are close.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>    Christophe
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>DB was "there" in 1997.
>>>>>
>>>>>:)
>>>>
>>>>Bob
>>>>
>>>>What would it take to get Deep Blue up and running and give us some data
>>>>comparable to what Ed has done here...
>>>
>>>
>>>Several million dollars, an act of congress, and divine intervention, I am
>>>afraid.  The several million dollars part is the _easiest_ of the required
>>>events.  :)
>>>
>>>We do have some data for 6 games vs Kasparov.  Someone could hand-compute the
>>>above for DB using that data, and get a rough approximation of what kind of
>>>'change expectancy' it had for each additional ply.
>>
>>i figure your as good as the deep blue teem , what sort of hardware would you
>>require to compete with deep blue and what program would you use???
>
>I think your figuring is probably inaccurate.  The DB guys were _very_
>bright.  And there were several of them.  I can guarantee you I would
>rather work in a setting with 4 bright chess people at my elbows, as
>opposed to a setting with zero.
>
>I could "compete" with any hardware.  But if you mean "play equally or better
>than" when you say compete, then there is no hardware available today that I
>would want to carry into such a match.

Other people including programmers have different opinion and the fact is that
IBM does not want a match.

Deep blue is the only program that cannot compete in the meaning of playing
because IBM does not want it to compete.

  I can probably hit 1/10th of their
>search speed, maybe even 1/5th with some _real_ sophisticated hardware.  But
>I couldn't do what they did in their evaluation without dragging performance
>back down by at least a factor of 10x...  so that in reality, I might hit
>1/100th to 1/50th of their effective speed.  If I got lucky with hardware.

I think that it is better not to discuss about Deep blue because we cannot get
into an agreement.

Uri



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