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Subject: Re: Mr. Morsch viewpoint on the differences between Deep Blue and Deep Fritz

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 19:08:25 08/02/01

Go up one level in this thread


On August 02, 2001 at 11:40:09, Mike CastaƱuela wrote:

>On August 02, 2001 at 00:53:59, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On August 01, 2001 at 13:07:19, Mike CastaƱuela wrote:
>>
>>>On August 01, 2001 at 09:42:58, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 01, 2001 at 05:03:06, Graham Laight wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On July 31, 2001 at 22:37:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On July 31, 2001 at 18:36:53, Otello Gnaramori wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>><snip>
>>>>>>>Franz Morsch saying the main difference between this version of Fritz compared
>>>>>>>to its predecessors did not lie so much in greater chess knowledge but more due
>>>>>>>to the machines newfound ability to deal with anti-computer chess strategy, and
>>>>>>>to learn from its mistakes. He also said that he believed that this incarnation
>>>>>>>of Fritz is every bit as strong as the Deep Blue II that defeated Kasparov and
>>>>>>>has far greater "chess knowledge".
>>>>>>><snip>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Good to say that...:)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Regards.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>If that is a direct quote from Frans, my respect for him just took a _huge_
>>>>>>nose-dive.  The quote is simply nonsense.
>>>>>
>>>>>Presumably, the lost respect will be restored if Fritz wins. :)
>>>>>
>>>>>-g
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Nope.  Fritz could win 6-0 and that statement would _still_ be ridiculous to
>>>>make by someone that knows something about computer chess.
>>>
>>>
>>>Why?
>>>Prof. Hyatt, you mean that if X Program (PC), not matter with
>>>what score its defeats to the current human World champion, then
>>>DBII has been the Best program forever?
>>>The results do not count, beyond subjectivas discussions?
>>
>>
>>Simple test:
>>
>>I build a car, using a 502 CI motor, producing about 2500 horsepower at the
>>rear wheels.
>>
>>You build a car, using whatever you want, producing about 250 horsepower at
>>the rear wheels.
>>
>>We race.  Who wins?
>>
>>I _might_ blow a rear end....  snap an axle...  drop the tranny on the track...
>>break a crank...  throw a rod...  drop a valve...  I would lose.  But if we
>>race a race later that year, and you _must_ best your life on the outcome, who
>>are you going to bet on?  _really_???
>>
>>I _know_ that in the 1/4 mile drags, 2500 horses is going to beat 250 horses
>>every time unless something odd happens.
>>
>>And in the case of deep blue, it is 25,000 horses vs DF's 250 horsepower.  So
>>which is really stronger?  Even if DF does beat another car in a race?  Which
>>one would you _really_ bet on???
>>
>>Results count.  But so does actual technical knowledge about the combatants.
>>In this case, the technical details overwhelm any single race result.  Give
>>me that 25,000 horsepower any time.
>
>Thanks.
>
>But there are something not considered in your map:
>
>The 'overall horsepower' takes into account the chess knowledge
>embedded in the system, which, in PC programs, there several
>presumptions (e.g. results against humans) that it is far better
>comparatively than DBII, compensing (in part) the deficit in
>'brute horsepower' (e.g. processors speed). I say in part, because
>until now no PC program has won to the current World champion.
>


DB played lots of exhibition matches around the world prior to the Kasparov
matches.  I saw one against Robert Byrne, and another against a GM I can't
recall.  It didn't lose a match.  And this was Deep Blue Junior.  Not the
full-blown thing used against Kasparov.  It was a formidable opponent.  DB
Jr had an outstanding record against GM players in exhibitions.  DB2 was way
faster and smarter.  Extrapolation makes me cringe.




>But if Fritz wins, by example, with at least the same margin
>than DBII won to Kasparov (3.5-2.5), then my hypothesis of the
>'overal horsepower (strength with chess knowledge)' more likely
>it must be certain.

In the match vs DB, kasparov didn't try to draw each game, and wait for
a mistake.  Kasparov played to win whenever possible. He sacrificed pawns,
he played for keeps.

If Kramnik plays the same way, then I agree, the match will show a lot.  If
kramnik plays for draws, and manages to lose one game, I won't consider that
anything like the DB vs Kasparov match.  Those were fighting games.  Not
draws waiting for mistakes.  Let's first see how the match is played, before
drawing conclusions on a speculation on the final result...




>
>And if Kramnik is at least at 90-100% of his strength
>at the time of the match, there will be no excuses,
>nor something odd have happened, and, therefore, Fritz (or whatever)
>will be better.


If Fritz beats Kramnik, then it will be very very strong.  I don't believe
it will have a chance, but then neither did I believe DB would beat Kasparov.
So take my opinion with a grain of salt and wait for the real results.



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