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Subject: Re: Future Processor Wish - Mega-Multiprocessors!

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 19:09:29 08/09/01

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On August 09, 2001 at 20:41:30, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On August 08, 2001 at 12:50:07, Graham Laight wrote:
>
>>I don't think that xx86 --> Pentium range makes a good choice for computers with
>>(very) large numbers of processors. IMO, large numbers of processors represents
>>the best future option for increasing computer power in a cost-effective way.
>
>Have to disagree directly. No one can afford so many processors,
>so much transport costs, so many risks, such a big power bill.
>
>Easier is a single processor being way faster and pressed cheaply

The math doesn't work.  For any single processor you build, I will take
two of 'em and make a dual for less than 2x the cost.  And I will be twice
as fast for that <2x cost.  Ask intel what it will cost you today if you want
them to build you a 4ghz processor.  Hint:  You won't get it for 2x the cost
of a 2ghz processor.  You won't get it for 10X.  You won't even get it for
100X.

SMP is here to stay, from an economics point of view.




>
>>How a good multiprocessor chip can become a new industry standard right now is
>>difficult to see.
>>
>>One way it could possibly happen is if ordinary people stopped buying power
>>machines and went for cheap ones (a sensible choice IMO) - but server purchasers
>>decided that something other than Wintel represented a better option for
>>servers.
>>
>>Then, something industry standard (and hence cheap) might emerge - which could
>>then be used in a home PC for people who want to play GM level chess (or have
>>high reolution virtual reality, or whatever).
>>
>>For many people, the best option for chess will be to rent time on a
>>supercomputer (via the internet), rather than buy their own supercomputer just
>>for the odd game - when a cheap computer meets all their other needs (calendar +
>>word processor in most cases!).
>
>Just started a job with Sun Micro systems or the new development team
>from intel?

Not everybody does word processing.  There are _plenty_ of horrendously
complex calculations being done every day.  AutoCad.  Simulations.  Data
Mining.  Etc.





>
>>-g



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