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Subject: Re: KasparovChess.com: A few questions for ChessBase

Author: Roy Eassa

Date: 12:17:20 09/07/01

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On September 07, 2001 at 09:43:00, Christopher R. Dorr wrote:

>I really do not see these conditions as a huge advantage for Kramnik.
>
>1. If Kramnik was going to play a serious match against a human GM, he would
>study all the games by him/her in depth. Most human GMs would have hundreds or
>thousands of games to study. Deep Fritz does NOT have these games yet. A
>reasonable alternative would be to allow the GM to use the program before hand.
>The CB team certainly has studied *all* of Kramnik's games closely. Why should
>the computer have the advantage of knowing the GMs style and weaknesses when the
>GM does not get to understand the computers?
>

The GM is not just going to UNDERSTAND the computer, he is able to prepare
dozens of EXACT WINNING GAMES in advance, the moves of which Fritz will repeat
in the match.  The computer cannot "adapt" to this strategy.  (Even if his
personal copy of Fritz has "learned" to avoid certain openings, that learning
will not carry over to the copy used in the match.)

>2. Fritz can change it's book at will. If there *are* any 'predetermined' games,
>they arise from the opening. Modify the book, elimninate the  problem.
>

Nope.  There are always going to be oddball moves that take the computer out of
book immediately.  Remember, Kramnik does NOT need to figure these out during
the match.  He has MONTHS to work out numerous odd lines IN ADVANCE that he
KNOWS the compuer will mis-play.  Once again, the computer cannot "adapt" to
this technique as a human might.

>
>3. And I doubt there could be predetermined games anyway. Think about the
>variety of openings. Kramnik is going to *find* and *memorize* killer lines in
>everything? As black, he would have to prepare for at least 12 major openings by
>white, and literally hundreds of important subvariations (If he chooses to play
>a Scheveningen Sicilian, for example, you need to worry about Keres attack with
>h3, Keres Attack with Rg1, Classical, Bc4, King's Indian Attack......). And
>remember, there are already very few *big* holes in Fritz's opening book. The
>*small* ones Kramnik would find would likely be further down the tree, making it
>even more unlikely that he could spring a particular trap.
>

See last response.  Kramnik could avoid "good" openings altogether and play
utterly "bad," unknown lines that a strong human might refute positionally; the
computer's responses can be KNOWN IN ADVANCE and Kramnik and his team have
plenty of time to find REPEATABLE variations in which Fritz is KNOWN to play in
a losing way.  Even if only 1 in 50 "bad" openings work against Fritz, months is
plenty of time to find and learn those 1 in 50.  [Somebody reputed to be Bobby
Fischer has been annihilating IMs on ICC using openings that are horribly bad,
like f3, Kf2, Ke3 as White's first 3 moves.  If it's possible to recover from
such horrendous moves against a strong human (admittedly in a fast game), it's
certainly possible to find less-horrible lines that will never be in any
computer's book yet that the computer repeatedly mis-plays.]

>
>Overall, I do not see Kramnik as getting a huge advantage. He didn't get the
>source code. The program isn't under a 'truth serum'. He has access to it's
>play, just as CB has access to all of Kramnik's games. As matches go, I see this
>one as fairly equal in it's treatment of the two players.


The source code would be nearly useless to Kramnik.  But for the reasons I
mentioned above, the match is hardly fair or even.


Note: Kramnik MAY very well choose to take the high road and avoid the above
methods.  I even think it's more than 50% likely he will.  However, I am quite
certain that, if he and his team of helpers wanted, they could win EVERY GAME
against Fritz by the above methods.



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