Author: Jesper Antonsson
Date: 14:14:33 11/19/01
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On November 19, 2001 at 14:40:36, Uri Blass wrote: >I believe that a big majority of the people here agree that Deep Fritz running >at 200M nps is stronger than Deeper blue. > >It is possible to do an opinion poll queation and check it. > >It proves nothing because the majority can be wrong but we have not enough data >to prove who is right and I only can say that the evidence that I found support >my opinion(my opinion could be different if I could see impressive moves of >Deeper blue from the games that top programs need hours to find). I think most *want* Fritz to be stronger than DB, and that it is hard to be objective about this. 1. DB and it's team beat the human Kasparov, who everyone thought would win, and a lot of people were in shock and denial and were very quick to point out that Kaspy didn't play as good as he should, that he unfairly hadn't been able to prepare due to DBs secrecy, that Karpovs style would have been better, etc. 2. Some see superhuman ratings of 3000 (in blitz), and they see the inflated SSDF ratings, and then compare them to human ELO. 3. People have favourite programs and they get consistently whipped by them, so they want to be able to say "well, of course I lost, my program is a strong GM". 4. There are a lot of tech-enthusiastic people around that will favour new stuff (and their own brand new Pentium 4). 5. Some have a gambler instinct of sorts, and will bet on a horse whether it makes sense or not, and the natural choice is the new horse, the underdog, that, justified or not, is also perceived to be more elegant and less brute-force than DB. I know you have done your research and have a well informed opinion, Uri, so this isn't an attack on you (or anyone else) but I see a lot of people, here and especially in real life, that seem to be governed more by feelings, hearsay and dubious information than by hard facts in matters like this. Regards, Jesper
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