Author: David Dory
Date: 18:04:47 01/26/02
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On January 26, 2002 at 19:39:29, Roy Eassa wrote: >On January 26, 2002 at 18:38:23, David Dory wrote: > >>There are further advancements that will be coming out in computer chess in the >>near future which were impossible until today's strong hardware became reality. >>When these new features become implemented, they will allow tomorrow's programs >>to far surpass anything we have today. > > >That's great to hear, but seems to go against what others here have been saying. > Can you provide more details? Naturally, I think the EGTB's will grow, as will our hard drives. Currently our TB's give us "good as God" moves. In the future, I believe our larger TB's will give us "very good" moves but not perfect. We trade perfection for compactness, but still every 10 (or so) piece end game is played well enough to win. In the openings, some bright light will write a universal opening creator, which will work with a scanning function or auxilliary program. Every new nuance that is played by man or machine, that differs from current theory, will be analyzed for it's strengths, and automatically included in the chess programs updated book openings. Additionally, rooms of computers will do nothing but refine the openings (and middlegame) further through exhaustive testing. Something like Dann's CAP project. It will take some refinements, but this will put an end to all those computer games where the program came out in a poor position right out of book. I see this as either a common add-on for programs to use (like Winboard), or a standard individual feature of all the top programs. Sound wild? Sure, but tell me this was something anyone thought likely to happen just a decade ago. (Just last week a researcher was asking on the news for people to let him use their excess computer cycles to solve a problem related to Anthrax vaccine.) Taking this powerful, coordinated computer approach, I can't see why games couldn't be played and analyzed 24/7, by thousands of computers. Taking the results of this knowledge into a program would eliminate a lot of the search entirely - it was already done by the network of computers. Your program would simply access it. I believe programmers will continue to strengthen their programs in the same way that they have in the past, however, I also believe the largest improvements will come from these (and other) features. A pipe dream? I don't think so. What do you think? (Not you, J., I know what you think. You think you want to hide my pipe, right?) Dave
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