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Subject: Re: Will TACTIC's eventually REFUTE! Positional play?

Author: Ed Schröder

Date: 05:03:08 01/28/02

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On January 28, 2002 at 06:33:26, Amir Ban wrote:

>On January 28, 2002 at 06:12:53, Ed Schröder wrote:
>
>>>Will TACTIC's eventually REFUTE! Positional play?
>>
>>In the end yes.
>>
>>It is my (new) opinion that the nature of chess is just search.
>>
>>Elo progress of (professional) chess programs...
>>
>>1990 - elo 2000 (average depth 6-8) (TC 40/2h)
>>1995 - elo 2300 (average depth 8-10)
>>2000 - elo 2500 (average depth 11-13)
>>2002 - elo 2600 (average depth 12-14)
>>
>
>This begs the question, because the programs are newer and play positionally
>different. Will a 1990/1995 program perform 2600+ on today's hardware ?

No.

Improved search and improved chess knowledge make nowadays programs way better
than the programs of 1990-1995.



>Doubtful.
>
>
>>No way to stop it.
>>
>>No suprise Kasparov lost against Deep Blue.
>
>It was a surprise because he is clearly better.

That was what I thought too in 1997.

Maybe a 20 ply search plus some limited but smart chess knowledge is good enough
to beat the world champion in a match. My above statistic implies it. Maybe we
(the programmers) just have underestimated the power of search and what it does
to human players.

Something else, there is a new development / tendency among grandmasters. They
state, "you can sinn against every chess rule as long as you calculate it
right". Ring a bell?

Ed




>>The sad future: it will be in the headlines when a grandmaster occasionally will
>>win from a computer.
>>
>
>If this will happen due to positionally outplaying will you also consider it sad
>?
>
>Amir



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