Author: Robert Hyatt
Date: 20:52:45 08/08/02
Go up one level in this thread
On August 08, 2002 at 18:01:09, Peter McKenzie wrote: >On August 08, 2002 at 15:28:27, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >>On August 08, 2002 at 00:29:19, Peter McKenzie wrote: >> >>>On August 07, 2002 at 22:57:33, Robert Hyatt wrote: >>> >>>>On August 07, 2002 at 17:59:21, Mig Greengard wrote: >>>> >>>>>Hyatt: >>>>>> >>>>>>I think it will end as close as Kasparov can make it. He won't want to >>>>>>blast the program because of the IBM debacle in 1997 and because he knows >>>>>>the authors/sponsors. That will make it interesting, maybe... >>>>> >>>>>So you think he can score at will against a program that made a 50% score in >>>>>Dortmund two years ago? >>>> >>>>A match is a _far_ different proposition than a tournament. I think he >>>>can draw at will, and probably win at will also. But I'll bet that as soon >>> >>>Win at will?? You have to be joking right? >> >>No. I see GM players draw at will against commercial programs all the time. >>So much that many of the "computer" accounts won't play against the specific >>humans that do this. > >Do you really mean 'draw at will' or do you mean they can draw some games very >easily? To me 'draw at will' means you can draw any game you want to. I really >don't think this is the case, especially when the GM is playing black and the >computer plays 1.e4 :-) With the white pieces maybe a strong GM can almost draw >at will, but here too it is possible for black to play unbalanced positions (of >course with more risk of losing). I mean "draw at will". I spent a _lot_ of time combatting one particular player (cptnbluebear, a GM that used to play on ICC). I watched more than once as he would play a program, and draw 8 out of 10 and win the other two. Over and over and over. My program. Top commercial programs. You-name-it. He was careful in his opening selection, and simply knew computers in and out. I had to ramp up my anti-blocked-position code specifically for him, but there is a danger there of it backfiring and he could exploit that also... I don't think there is much you can do if a GM _really_ wants to draw. Except you can certainly lose if you try hard enough to avoid the draw. But that is a bit counter-productive, of course. :) > >I agree that given the right type of position, a GM can hold the draw easily. >But chess is not so simple that (even) a GM can *always* get the sort of >position he wants! They are _very_ good at doing so, however... _very_ good... > >"Before the endgame the gods have placed the middlegame." Tarrasch. Yes, but a good GM will take that away quickly by locking things up enough that the battle revolves around one part of the board. Those that don't do this fall on their own swords of course... > >GMs are not as strong as many people think, under tactical pressure they can >crack just like the rest of us. Tal proved it, Korchnoi proved it, Fischer >proved it, and computers too have proved it. ACtually, in my opinion, the _reverse_ is true. The GM players are far stronger than most think. Their main weakness is the occasional tactical lapse, but computers are helping them repair that weekness on a daily basis. There are plenty of GM players that don't need to fear the computer's tactics, because they can see so much deeper on the _critical_ lines... And their positional judgement is so much better, the computer can't afford to lose any tactical ground... > >Of course Kasparov is *MUCH* stronger than the average GM, so it will be very >interesting. I hope the match takes place so we can see. > >Peter > He also knows a lot about computers, too. Just so long as he doesn't listen to the _same_ advisors that prepared him for the 1997 debacle... :) >> >> >>> >>>Draw at will? I don't think so. Junior won't take any short draws so Kasparov >>>will have to work for his money. Junior is always trying stuff and has teeth as >>>sharp as a razor if you slip up, so even Kasparov will have to be on his guard >>>otherwise he will be embarassed. >> >> >> >>No point in arguing since it will be settled publicly before long. I don't >>think _any_ GM will have trouble drawing against a computer whenever they >>want. >> >> >> >>> >>>I predict a drawn match. >>> >>>Peter >>> >>>>as he scores a point, it will be draw city for many reasons. >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>>> I certainly think he'll win, and could do 4.5 if he >>>>>tries to win every game, but not getting blown out of the water at least once >>>>>will be tough. And comps defend so well that winning won positions isn't >>>>>guaranteed, so maybe 4-2 is more realistic. >>>>> >>>>>Mig
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