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Subject: Re: Is Deep Blue still considered better than Deep Junior ?

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 17:47:58 08/18/02

Go up one level in this thread


On August 18, 2002 at 17:09:08, Jonas Cohonas wrote:

>On August 18, 2002 at 15:27:44, José Carlos wrote:
>
>>On August 18, 2002 at 12:41:58, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On August 18, 2002 at 11:31:54, Chris Taylor wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 18, 2002 at 09:06:02, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>   Kasparov proved that he can defeat programs at fast time controls when he
>>>>>defeated Deep Thought in a game/90 two games match in 1989. This program was
>>>>>weaker than Deep Junior is today, as it searched well over 2,000,000 NPS, but
>>>>>didn't have as much chess knowledge as Deep Junior.  He also defeated Deep Blue
>>>>>in 1996. This program is obviously much faster than Deep Junior is today, but in
>>>>>my opinion Deep Junior still has more chess knowledge than Deep Blue had back in
>>>>>1996.
>>>>>
>>>>>PS: It is hard to compare Deep Blue of 1997 vs Deep Junior of today, but in my
>>>>>opinion Deep Junior Chess Knowledge could make up for the difference of Deep
>>>>>Blue super calculating power of 1997.
>>>>>
>>>>>Pichard.
>>>>
>>>>One way would be to play some games with Deep Blue and Deep Junior.  Guess that
>>>>would settle once and for all who is the strongest.  Or would it just pour fuel
>>>>on the **whos** best fire.  Put together the blue box and match it up.  After
>>>>all it did beat the best player in the world at that time!  The advert could be
>>>>quite powerful.  The machine that beat Kaspy goes for Junior. Methinks there
>>>>could be some money to be made here? So this may not happen, shame?
>>>
>>>that will of course never happen. Just like fischer still is world
>>>champion, deep blue will be world champion in some scientist eyes forever
>>>too.
>>>
>>>To be clear. I feel that any 2650+ player of todaywill wipe out fischer
>>>if he plays like he played in 1970.
>>>
>>>New theory, better tactics, more insight in strategies, better training.
>>>
>>>A 2650 player of today is going to crush any world champ from before Karpov
>>>of course. No doubts.
>>>
>>>Robert J Fischer when the rating list started had 2780 or something. that was
>>>superb compared to anyone in those days. He was the best back then. No one
>>>was as good.
>>>
>>>But the level has improved a lot. Many will say now: "this is not a fair
>>>compare a modern 2650 player against someone who had only an old
>>>book from capablanca and tarrasch, if he could read german anyway".
>>>
>>>In fact a grandmaster did this comparision. He compared a top tournament
>>>in 1991 with a top tournament from 1920. The grandmaster was called Nunn
>>>if i remember well.
>>>
>>>The last few players in that tournament around the start of the 20th
>>>century, they simply blundered away piece
>>>after piece. Would be rated at most 1500 nowadays.
>>>
>>>The 'better players' in the tournament, considered *clear world top*
>>>back then, they blundered on average 5 times a game.
>>>
>>>*no modern topgrandmaster is doing that*.
>>>
>>>The level of the world top increases. This is logical. Suppose you
>>>get to the tennis court with a wooden racket. Even if you're called
>>>John McEnroe you will be of course get completely annihilated. A wooden
>>>racket and services of 160KM/hour (the speed at which McEnroe served) it
>>>is no compare to the 180-220 KM/hour services of modern tennis of today.
>>>
>>>He won't manage a single break of course.
>>>
>>>This is logical. Sport progresses. computerchess even faster. saynig that
>>>deep blue/deep thought was good in its days is justified. It beated some
>>>GMs. That the GMs played big shit games because they cared shit as they
>>>had nothing to proof and would get money anyway, that's no issue here.
>>>
>>>The issue is that it is so *obvious* that software in 2002 is much better
>>>than in 1997 that i am amazed that only Hyatt here doubts it.
>>>
>>>>Chris
>>
>>  Couldn't disagree more. Give Capablanca or Lasker a couple of months to train
>>against today's GM's and they'll do quite well. Talented players learn fast,
>>Vincent. It's not like programs. A program is "closed", it can't modify itself.
>>A player such as Lasker would be able to catch up in very little time.
>>  As for tennis, a fair comparison would be give McEnroe a new racket and see
>>how long does he need to get used to it. Otherwise it's not a fair comparison.
>>Lasker brain would not be obsolete today. His knowledge would be, but knowledge
>>can be learnt.
>>
>>  José C.
>
>I agree with you completely, there is a reason that todays top GM's show a lot
>of respect for players of the old days when talking about them...
>
>You could also flip the tennis analogy and have todays top players go back in
>time and see how they would fare with wooden rackets and slower balls, against
>the top players from back then.
>
>Regards
>Jonas

I hope you realize very clearly that Deep Blue can't get upgraded.
Yes it was a big achievement for 1 man to make all that. The chip programmed
by 1 person. It's incredible.

But please don't compare it with 2002 software. It's going to get raped,
dicked and completely annihilated *everywhere*. Opening, first moves out of
book with structure, mobility, even good/bad bishop, king safety (see the
major errors it made there which none of todays program makes), exchanging
to endgame (2 horrible exchanges of a queen in the 1997 games, one Qxg6??
being a full blunder making from a better position a lost one) and finally
endgame.

So the comparision is not fair, but i hope you realize how bigtime it
would get completely *destroyed* with induction against todays programs.
Not a single area where it is impressing. Let's not discuss tactics.
If you get 11-12 ply then tactics do not decide the game. I feel it
wasn't bad tactically at all if i look to the design specifications of
the extensions.

Best regards,
Vincent



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