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Subject: Re: Did we expect anything really different?

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 03:12:07 10/11/02

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On October 11, 2002 at 05:46:03, stuart taylor wrote:

>On October 10, 2002 at 02:56:58, Daniel Clausen wrote:
>
>>On October 09, 2002 at 21:17:45, stuart taylor wrote:
>>
>>[snip]
>>
>>>And you anyway need about 500 games to come to a sensible estimation.
>>
>>There are several ways to to find out whether X is better than Y. One of them is
>>to play countless games and simply see who gets more points. This is typically
>>done in all the engine-engine matches and/or what the SSDF does.
>>
>>Another way is to play a few games but _objectively_ analyze the games
>>afterwards. This way doesn't work very well when comparing 2 engines, because
>>they style of play is similar, in a bigger sense. It works quite good in the
>>Kramnik-DF match though, in my opinion.
>>
>>While it's very well possible, that the match turns in the next games, I have no
>>doubt, that Kramnik indeed is stronger than DF, because I think the way he won
>>his games so far are so convincing. (it's not that DF had bad luck or something,
>>it simply lost chanceless - in my opinion)
>>
>>I wish people wouldn't be so focused on the match score of a match with only 8
>>games. It really doesn't say a whole lot, whether it's 4.5 - 3.5 or 4-4 at the
>>end. But people are so focused on these numbers. I suggest that we enjoy the
>>games rather than counting beans. :)
>>
>>Sargon
>
>Thanks for your answer. So you say that numerous games is only necesary with
>Comp-comp games. But not when there is at least one human.

I do not believe in it

I remember that sofia polgar won a tournament in Rome with 8.5/9
with performace of more than 2800 when she had not even rating of 2400.

She won 2 unrated players and 7 players with average fide rating
of more than 2500.

This was her best result and later tournaments showed that
this tournament was only an accident

How do you explain it?

I guess that it was a statistical error.

Uri



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