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Subject: Re: Behind deep Blue

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 13:36:35 10/25/02

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On October 25, 2002 at 13:53:05, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On October 24, 2002 at 13:21:27, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>You won't find such 1b blunders there. obviously you
>don't follow the chess scene for 20 years now or so.
>

I saw these blunders within the last 3 years, from the major tournaments that
were relayed live on ICC.  As I have said for about a dozen times now...



>
>
>>On October 24, 2002 at 06:15:14, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On October 23, 2002 at 14:25:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>'a gm i saw blundering'. Wow good from you. 80 years old
>>>and called Bronstein or something?
>>
>>Nope.  As I said, GMs playing in events like Los Palmas, and other such
>>super-GM invitationals...
>>
>>>
>>>Or a 2495 rated GM and busy telling his wife he's back home soon
>>>in his mobile phone because he is bored from this tournament
>>>as he has no chance to win prices anyway anymore?
>>>
>>>Or some kind of 'invitation group' where winning is not so important
>>>and just a show to the sponsor matters?
>>
>>Maybe an event with most of the top 20 GMs?  Including Kasparov and
>>so forth?
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>Or getting a million dollar paid in advance to play a chessprogram
>>>instead of 700k if he wins?
>>>
>>>Such kind of examples you have?
>>>
>>
>>
>>Nope...  that is your wild hand-waving stuff, not mine.  I was _very_ specific
>>about the
>>errors I saw and the kind of event they were made in, and the kind of player
>>that made them.
>>If you choose not to read, that is your failing, not mine...
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>Your point is wrong. Please show me kasparov-kramnik games
>>>and how many 1b blunders they make there.
>>
>>I am running a test on 180 Kramnik games right now.
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>Of course if they have a won position and win the position (even if
>>>there is a mate in 11 or whatever) that doesn't count.
>>>
>>
>>Depends.  If the move they make _could_ have produced a draw, then it
>>does count...
>>
>>
>>
>>>It's about blowing won positions to a draw or a loss and a drawn position
>>>to a loss.
>>
>>I agree and said that.
>>
>>
>>>
>>>That's the key thing.
>>>
>>>I won't say i will play a russian roulette if there has been such
>>>a blunder in the kasparov-kramnik games, but i could do the bet.
>>>
>>>You won't find *any*.
>>>
>>>Even when kramnik was 16 years old...
>>>
>>
>>Better not bet.  Crafty has already found a few...  More after it finishes the
>>complete set of PGN and everyone can go over the blunders to see if they are
>>simply blunders, or they are just too deep for a one second search to
>>understand.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 13:19:41, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 11:26:38, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 05:08:11, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 17:29:53, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>let's be clear. the kramnik guy was happy to receive
>>>>>>>a million dollar in advance. Without much effort he played
>>>>>>>a few moves and it was 3-1. Then everyone started complaining
>>>>>>>that the match got no publicity and got no excitement.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>He then gives away a piece in a clear drawn position with
>>>>>>>a 1b trick (1 check in between). That's bullet blunder level.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>In fact i don't make such mistakes that much at bullet and
>>>>>>>last time i made such a mistake at slow level was a year or
>>>>>>>10 ago. Kramnik had plenty of time.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>0% chance he didn't deliberately blunder there.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I think that is a totally stupid statement to make.  I can point out GM blunders
>>>>>>in _every_ tournament I have watched online.  I have seen them overlook a mate
>>>>>>in 2.  A hanging queen.  You-name-it.  Human GMs _do_ make mistakes.  Not as
>>>>>>often as non-GM players, but also far more often than "never".
>>>>>
>>>>>Ha the 'expert' is speaking here.
>>>>>
>>>>>In important matches the only few blunders i remember are also from
>>>>>a year or 10 ago, and most definitely not from Kramnik, and always
>>>>>in *big* time trouble.
>>>>
>>>>Not in every game I have seen.  I saw a GM think for 20 minutes, with plenty of
>>>>time left, and he made a move that forced him to give up his queen to avoid a
>>>>mate
>>>>the very next move.  It happens, regardless of your hand-waving.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Kramnik had 15 minutes left here...
>>>>>
>>>>>So forget your online toying. Online games aren't earning money.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Vincent, I was talking about Las Palmas a few years ago.  GM vs GM.  Not online
>>>>vs a computer.  Please read first, and then respond, rather than writing stuff
>>>>that is
>>>>unrelated to my point in any way...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>You know that, and i know it.
>>>>
>>>>I know that GM players make ugly blunders in real games vs other GM players,
>>>>even
>>>>after thinking 20 minutes.  Kramnik dropped a piece after a long think against
>>>>Fritz.
>>>>It happens.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>What i remember is something from the 80s. A match Kasparov-Karpov,
>>>>>where Karpov makes a mistake in the endgame. If i show you the position
>>>>>you will most likely call it 'every day blunder stuff'.
>>>>>
>>>>>You should realize how well these guys are playing always.
>>>>
>>>>Never said otherwise.  But they _do_ make basic blunders on occasion, and not
>>>>only when in dire time trouble either...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>They are not people who make a blunder in every game they play.
>>>>
>>>>So?  Kramnik didn't make a blunder in every game he played vs Fritz either...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>They have for years nightmares when they blunder in a game without
>>>>>major time pressure.
>>>>>
>>>>>Kramnik had no pressure here.
>>>>>
>>>>>Apart from that, what's the last game you played 40 in 2 online?
>>>>>
>>>>>I can't remember any GM playing 40 in 2 online. Do you?
>>>>
>>>>I wasn't talking about GM vs Computer, as I said.  Crafty was simply giving
>>>>analysis
>>>>as ICC relayed live games from events like Los Palmas (los or las, I don't
>>>>remember)...
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>He just didn't care. He wasn't shocked after the blunder.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>It was 3-2.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>then some beginner game at round 6. he has white. No way
>>>>>>>with his default play to even draw it. He would win it
>>>>>>>without problems. So kramnik decides to put some fire in
>>>>>>>the game and plays open position. A line he has never played
>>>>>>>before.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>To play Bxf7 objective criteria are not there. There is just
>>>>>>>one criteria: "make the match exciting".
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Of course that's very hard if you play your entire life 1.Nf3,
>>>>>>>so for a change he played some other d4 c4 line and opened the
>>>>>>>position. Then give away a piece for a few checks and the
>>>>>>>crowd has something
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>3-3
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Exciting enough for the sponsor?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yes. So 2 quick draws are enough. Kramnik could have won game 8
>>>>>>>if he wanted to. He didn't want to. he gave it draw.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Of course that openings line he normally doesn't play.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>So i was unhappy, i had expected kramnik to just make default moves
>>>>>>>and win at least with 4.5 - 3.5
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Anyway, this match drew no attention at all. No newspaper and no TV
>>>>>>>station and no one saw it. I can't speak for german newspapers, but
>>>>>>>at ARD,ZDF and WDR i didn't see anything broadcasted yet.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>30 seconds at CNN, and even those 30 seconds i missed. That's all that
>>>>>>>is broadcasted AFAIK.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>This match was not important. This match is not important. This match
>>>>>>>will never be important except for sales for chessbase and 4-4 on their
>>>>>>>box not showing a picture of kramnik, becuase no one knows the guy.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I find kramnik stupid to not play 1 good game at the end.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Whole match has been dominated again by games with stupid openings and
>>>>>>>many sidelines and even openings kramnik never played before his entire
>>>>>>>life.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>The match will be forgotten.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Kasparov - Junior will draw hopefully more attention from the big crowds.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Of course 'deep junior' the big crowd wil not see as a program called 'junior'.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>They will see it as a successor of deep blue of course.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>First you have 'deep blue' where they needed some old big machine,
>>>>>>>then you have 'deep junior'. Very logical. I will not even explain
>>>>>>>it too much around me. It's impossible to explain.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>computer = computer. Deep == Deep == Diep
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I stopped already long time ago explaining that Diep != Deep Blue
>>>>>>>You can't help it. You can't blame them either.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>If they see Diep with blue interface as Deep Blue, obviously
>>>>>>>they will see Deep Junior as the latest Deep Blue version.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>In some respects they are right. It's also focussed upon getting
>>>>>>>a shitload of nodes a second, it's searching deep, and it's positional
>>>>>>>play is not very good.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Perhaps Kramnik will understand soon how stpuid he was. We can only
>>>>>>>hope Kasparov does by now.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I guess IBM marketing department managed to inform at least 30% of
>>>>>>>the world population about Deep Blue solving chess in 1997.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>The only question i ask myself is: How big of a crowd will in december
>>>>>>>2002 be reached?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Knowing how many TV crews are in Jerusalem, perhaps they reach some market
>>>>>>>there.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 11:53:26, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 18:24:44, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 13:12:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 10:22:39, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 08:34:31, Fernando Villegas wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>It is not valid that they created an awful machine. They didn't
>>>>>>>>>>>>play any computerchess world championship nor did they join any
>>>>>>>>>>>>other computer chess events where the european programs could measure
>>>>>>>>>>>>themselves with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>After 1995 they quit facing european programs.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>All we know is a few horrible games from both deep blue and kasparov.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>It is not trivial that deep blue 1997 could show better play
>>>>>>>>>>>>than the poor level in these games.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>It is for sure that kasparov is the person to blame of course. he
>>>>>>>>>>>>was not only an idiot, he was also bad for chess.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>Where the 4-4 from kramnik is a sad reality, he will be able to possibly
>>>>>>>>>>>>face other programs again. Kasparov will play junior.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>So kasparov made _one_ big mistake in resigning a drawn position, and mixing up
>>>>>>>>>>>an opening (if that is really what happened) sequence of moves, and he is an
>>>>>>>>>>>idiot.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Kramnik resigned a drawn game, and blew a couple of openings, and he is "ok"???
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>not that i want to take sides in any debate involving deep blue, but:
>>>>>>>>>>kramnik resigned a drawn game, true, but it was very hard to spot. and i don't
>>>>>>>>>>know where he "blew openings" - not even one.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>I was talking about anti-computer more than anything else.  His first four
>>>>>>>>>openings were
>>>>>>>>>tame and nearly perfect for playing against a computer.  Then he got more
>>>>>>>>>aggressive and
>>>>>>>>>left his original plan, it seems...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>actually, to me it seemed as if the fritz team changed something in the openings
>>>>>>>>after 4 games, not kramnik. kramnik did NOT play anti-fritz chess in this match.
>>>>>>>>he played "kramnik as usual", which is quite good as anti-computer-chess goes,
>>>>>>>>of course. i had this impression already after the first 4 games, that kramnik
>>>>>>>>was not playing specific anti-computer lines he discovered at home (i really
>>>>>>>>hope we'll get some insight into his preparation some day - e.g. did he know
>>>>>>>>..Bf8?? was coming), but just his usual openings. i don't think kramnik changed
>>>>>>>>anything after game 4. personally, i think his super-blunder in game 5 changed
>>>>>>>>the match completely - kramnik probably makes such a blunder once in 100 or more
>>>>>>>>games at most, and fritz just got lucky. i think that kramnik then wanted to
>>>>>>>>"make up for it" with a brilliant game 6 and that backfired too (naturally...),
>>>>>>>>and then he was only a shadow of his usual self for games 7 and 8... at least it
>>>>>>>>should teach him a good lesson if he ever has another go at the computer!
>>>>>>>>i also think your are generally right that kramnik just lost his concentration a
>>>>>>>>bit after the first 4 games when everything was going so smoothly. that is just
>>>>>>>>very human :-)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Somehow your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Fritz couldn't beat Kramnik in the match  even after he made at _least_ one
>>>>>>>>>>>trivial-to-spot
>>>>>>>>>>>blunder that turned a dead draw into a dead loss a piece down.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>kramnik made exactly ONE trivial-to-spot blunder, Qc4??. the position was not a
>>>>>>>>>>dead draw without that blunder. i think it's a draw, but if kramnik had been
>>>>>>>>>>100% sure that this was in fact a dead draw, he could have gone into this ending
>>>>>>>>>>by force - and he didnt, which tells us something about what kramnik thought
>>>>>>>>>>about this ending - that it was not *dead* drawn.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>My point was that in the Kasparov vs Deep Blue match, Kasparov resigned in a
>>>>>>>>>game
>>>>>>>>>that he thought was lost.  But which deep analysis showed was drawn.  Kramnik
>>>>>>>>>resigned
>>>>>>>>>a game that was probably drawn, although it has not been subjected to the same
>>>>>>>>>analysis as
>>>>>>>>>the DB/GK game.  But the similarity is there, he resigned _too early_.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>you can say that with the benefit of hindsight. lots of people wrote this here,
>>>>>>>>but it's just not true. if you are sitting at the board, and only see losses,
>>>>>>>>you resign. which means if you do not see the "miracle save" in that position,
>>>>>>>>you resign - there is no point in playing on if you do not see it, because every
>>>>>>>>other possible line will just lose. you cannot call resigning in that position
>>>>>>>>an "easy-to-spot-blunder", just as you cannot call kasparov's resignation an
>>>>>>>>"easy-to-spot-blunder". it was a wrong decision obviously, but not easy to
>>>>>>>>spot...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>In the last game Kasparov made what most considered to be a blunder with h6.
>>>>>>>>>Kramnik
>>>>>>>>>_clearly_ blundered a piece and turned a probable draw into a sure loss with one
>>>>>>>>>move that
>>>>>>>>>takes most programs a few milliseconds to spot as losing.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Yet Kasparov was routinely criticized as playing like a 2000 player, yet Kramnik
>>>>>>>>>has not
>>>>>>>>>gotten any such comments.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Everything is the _same_ except for the opponents.  One was the hated Deep Blue
>>>>>>>>>from IBM,
>>>>>>>>>the other is a popular micro program...  :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Nxf7 turned out to be a mistake too, but much more in the sense that you should
>>>>>>>>>>not play this way against computers, and specially not when you are leading with
>>>>>>>>>>+1. in a chess sense, it is very far from "trivial to spot"... as it turns out,
>>>>>>>>>>Nxf7 was a ?? for kramnik for the rest of the match - he couldnt recover after
>>>>>>>>>>game 6...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>I concsider that to be a strategic blunder, if not a tactical blunder.  But that
>>>>>>>>>only
>>>>>>>>>highlights the issue here.  Kramnik actually played much worse overall than
>>>>>>>>>Kasparov
>>>>>>>>>did, but was still able to draw the match.  I think the first four games were
>>>>>>>>>more revealing
>>>>>>>>>to me, personally.  The last 4 games seemed to be twilight-zone stuff...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>i don't know how you can say that kramnik played "much worse". i see that both
>>>>>>>>players made one big chess blunder (...h6 for kasparov in game 6, ...Qc4 for
>>>>>>>>kramnik in game 5), both resigned a drawn position where it was extremely hard
>>>>>>>>to spot that it was a draw, and apart from that i see no real blunders.
>>>>>>>>obviously, Nxf7 by kramnik is a very questionable decision, but then you can say
>>>>>>>>kramnik made 3 mistakes in 8 games and kasparov 2 in 6, which is very close to
>>>>>>>>each other.
>>>>>>>>besides, kramnik played excellent anti-computer-chess in games 1-4, and you
>>>>>>>>cannot say that kasparov played a single excellent anti-computer game in the
>>>>>>>>whole match.
>>>>>>>>on the other hand, DB played a great game (the one where kasparov resigned where
>>>>>>>>he had a perpetual), outplaying kasparov completely, something which DF never
>>>>>>>>did to kramnik in the whole match.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>judging from the games, DF certainly didn't seem to be "much better than DB",
>>>>>>>>>>which at least didnt produce such ridiculous moves as DF did :-)
>>>>>>>>>>which is not to say that DB would not have been capable of playing such moves
>>>>>>>>>>too...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>I certainly agree.  Kramnik made more bad moves than Kasparov, yet he didn't
>>>>>>>>>lose
>>>>>>>>>the match. That says something...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>While Deep Blue
>>>>>>>>>>>_did_
>>>>>>>>>>>beat Kasparov in a match where both made mistakes.  And Fritz is much better
>>>>>>>>>>>than
>>>>>>>>>>>deep blue?
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Somehow, again, your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>In fact, your "logic" is really just a form of envy/agenda, IMHO...
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>Perhaps kasparov has LEARNED a bit more than kramnik has.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>If you lose once from the thing, then only when you are world champion
>>>>>>>>>>>>you can play it again. But for sure is that fritz exists as software
>>>>>>>>>>>>and you can buy it and play it, and it joins tournaments too usual.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>that's not the case with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>We just know it sucked ass, based upon its play. Kasparov sucked even
>>>>>>>>>>>>more of course, but he always got away with poor chess against programs.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>In fact it is realistic that he didn't care for getting 2.5-2.5, just
>>>>>>>>>>>>game 6 IMHO he was imagining deep blue to be so bad, like 1980 software,
>>>>>>>>>>>>that he thought he coudl get back to a draw or something, after playing
>>>>>>>>>>>>horrible blunders like b5.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>We do not know. All we know is that humans when playing computers do not
>>>>>>>>>>>>show very good play. Look to kramnik. he plays the first 4 games like
>>>>>>>>>>>>he plays rapid games. He gets 3-1 then (lucky machine) and the rest of
>>>>>>>>>>>>the games he doesn't care simply.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>But still 4-4 is acceptible from historic viewpoint.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>What we do know is that kasparov has on average played 1-1 against
>>>>>>>>>>>>deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>First match easy win 4-2, second match by some poor games a loss 3.5-2.5
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>Then IBM stopped. Wise decision. AFter so much  marketing that deep blue
>>>>>>>>>>>>has solved chess even, they had to quit of course. Or they would look
>>>>>>>>>>>>stupid in 1998.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>Bob
>>>>>>>>>>>>>Feng DO mention problems with the program by Thomas. If they were enough to
>>>>>>>>>>>>>speak of "full of.." or not it is a matter of tastes in the writting style. My
>>>>>>>>>>>>>impression was and still is that the author did have many problems and even so
>>>>>>>>>>>>>they created an awful machine. Of course this does not means the software
>>>>>>>>>>>>>problem were more or worst than the hardware problems.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>Anyway the core of my mressions is the first: DP could have been absolutely
>>>>>>>>>>>>>untouchable if worked one year more.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>My best
>>>>>>>>>>>>>Fernando



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