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Subject: Re: Behind deep Blue

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 10:53:05 10/25/02

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On October 24, 2002 at 13:21:27, Robert Hyatt wrote:

You won't find such 1b blunders there. obviously you
don't follow the chess scene for 20 years now or so.



>On October 24, 2002 at 06:15:14, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>
>>On October 23, 2002 at 14:25:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>'a gm i saw blundering'. Wow good from you. 80 years old
>>and called Bronstein or something?
>
>Nope.  As I said, GMs playing in events like Los Palmas, and other such
>super-GM invitationals...
>
>>
>>Or a 2495 rated GM and busy telling his wife he's back home soon
>>in his mobile phone because he is bored from this tournament
>>as he has no chance to win prices anyway anymore?
>>
>>Or some kind of 'invitation group' where winning is not so important
>>and just a show to the sponsor matters?
>
>Maybe an event with most of the top 20 GMs?  Including Kasparov and
>so forth?
>
>
>
>
>>
>>Or getting a million dollar paid in advance to play a chessprogram
>>instead of 700k if he wins?
>>
>>Such kind of examples you have?
>>
>
>
>Nope...  that is your wild hand-waving stuff, not mine.  I was _very_ specific
>about the
>errors I saw and the kind of event they were made in, and the kind of player
>that made them.
>If you choose not to read, that is your failing, not mine...
>
>
>
>
>>Your point is wrong. Please show me kasparov-kramnik games
>>and how many 1b blunders they make there.
>
>I am running a test on 180 Kramnik games right now.
>
>
>
>>
>>Of course if they have a won position and win the position (even if
>>there is a mate in 11 or whatever) that doesn't count.
>>
>
>Depends.  If the move they make _could_ have produced a draw, then it
>does count...
>
>
>
>>It's about blowing won positions to a draw or a loss and a drawn position
>>to a loss.
>
>I agree and said that.
>
>
>>
>>That's the key thing.
>>
>>I won't say i will play a russian roulette if there has been such
>>a blunder in the kasparov-kramnik games, but i could do the bet.
>>
>>You won't find *any*.
>>
>>Even when kramnik was 16 years old...
>>
>
>Better not bet.  Crafty has already found a few...  More after it finishes the
>complete set of PGN and everyone can go over the blunders to see if they are
>simply blunders, or they are just too deep for a one second search to
>understand.
>
>
>
>
>>
>>
>>
>>>On October 23, 2002 at 13:19:41, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>
>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 11:26:38, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 05:08:11, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 17:29:53, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>let's be clear. the kramnik guy was happy to receive
>>>>>>a million dollar in advance. Without much effort he played
>>>>>>a few moves and it was 3-1. Then everyone started complaining
>>>>>>that the match got no publicity and got no excitement.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>He then gives away a piece in a clear drawn position with
>>>>>>a 1b trick (1 check in between). That's bullet blunder level.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>In fact i don't make such mistakes that much at bullet and
>>>>>>last time i made such a mistake at slow level was a year or
>>>>>>10 ago. Kramnik had plenty of time.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>0% chance he didn't deliberately blunder there.
>>>>>
>>>>>I think that is a totally stupid statement to make.  I can point out GM blunders
>>>>>in _every_ tournament I have watched online.  I have seen them overlook a mate
>>>>>in 2.  A hanging queen.  You-name-it.  Human GMs _do_ make mistakes.  Not as
>>>>>often as non-GM players, but also far more often than "never".
>>>>
>>>>Ha the 'expert' is speaking here.
>>>>
>>>>In important matches the only few blunders i remember are also from
>>>>a year or 10 ago, and most definitely not from Kramnik, and always
>>>>in *big* time trouble.
>>>
>>>Not in every game I have seen.  I saw a GM think for 20 minutes, with plenty of
>>>time left, and he made a move that forced him to give up his queen to avoid a
>>>mate
>>>the very next move.  It happens, regardless of your hand-waving.
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>Kramnik had 15 minutes left here...
>>>>
>>>>So forget your online toying. Online games aren't earning money.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>Vincent, I was talking about Las Palmas a few years ago.  GM vs GM.  Not online
>>>vs a computer.  Please read first, and then respond, rather than writing stuff
>>>that is
>>>unrelated to my point in any way...
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>You know that, and i know it.
>>>
>>>I know that GM players make ugly blunders in real games vs other GM players,
>>>even
>>>after thinking 20 minutes.  Kramnik dropped a piece after a long think against
>>>Fritz.
>>>It happens.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>What i remember is something from the 80s. A match Kasparov-Karpov,
>>>>where Karpov makes a mistake in the endgame. If i show you the position
>>>>you will most likely call it 'every day blunder stuff'.
>>>>
>>>>You should realize how well these guys are playing always.
>>>
>>>Never said otherwise.  But they _do_ make basic blunders on occasion, and not
>>>only when in dire time trouble either...
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>They are not people who make a blunder in every game they play.
>>>
>>>So?  Kramnik didn't make a blunder in every game he played vs Fritz either...
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>They have for years nightmares when they blunder in a game without
>>>>major time pressure.
>>>>
>>>>Kramnik had no pressure here.
>>>>
>>>>Apart from that, what's the last game you played 40 in 2 online?
>>>>
>>>>I can't remember any GM playing 40 in 2 online. Do you?
>>>
>>>I wasn't talking about GM vs Computer, as I said.  Crafty was simply giving
>>>analysis
>>>as ICC relayed live games from events like Los Palmas (los or las, I don't
>>>remember)...
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>He just didn't care. He wasn't shocked after the blunder.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>It was 3-2.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>then some beginner game at round 6. he has white. No way
>>>>>>with his default play to even draw it. He would win it
>>>>>>without problems. So kramnik decides to put some fire in
>>>>>>the game and plays open position. A line he has never played
>>>>>>before.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>To play Bxf7 objective criteria are not there. There is just
>>>>>>one criteria: "make the match exciting".
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Of course that's very hard if you play your entire life 1.Nf3,
>>>>>>so for a change he played some other d4 c4 line and opened the
>>>>>>position. Then give away a piece for a few checks and the
>>>>>>crowd has something
>>>>>>
>>>>>>3-3
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Exciting enough for the sponsor?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Yes. So 2 quick draws are enough. Kramnik could have won game 8
>>>>>>if he wanted to. He didn't want to. he gave it draw.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Of course that openings line he normally doesn't play.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>So i was unhappy, i had expected kramnik to just make default moves
>>>>>>and win at least with 4.5 - 3.5
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Anyway, this match drew no attention at all. No newspaper and no TV
>>>>>>station and no one saw it. I can't speak for german newspapers, but
>>>>>>at ARD,ZDF and WDR i didn't see anything broadcasted yet.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>30 seconds at CNN, and even those 30 seconds i missed. That's all that
>>>>>>is broadcasted AFAIK.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>This match was not important. This match is not important. This match
>>>>>>will never be important except for sales for chessbase and 4-4 on their
>>>>>>box not showing a picture of kramnik, becuase no one knows the guy.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I find kramnik stupid to not play 1 good game at the end.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Whole match has been dominated again by games with stupid openings and
>>>>>>many sidelines and even openings kramnik never played before his entire
>>>>>>life.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The match will be forgotten.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Kasparov - Junior will draw hopefully more attention from the big crowds.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Of course 'deep junior' the big crowd wil not see as a program called 'junior'.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>They will see it as a successor of deep blue of course.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>First you have 'deep blue' where they needed some old big machine,
>>>>>>then you have 'deep junior'. Very logical. I will not even explain
>>>>>>it too much around me. It's impossible to explain.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>computer = computer. Deep == Deep == Diep
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I stopped already long time ago explaining that Diep != Deep Blue
>>>>>>You can't help it. You can't blame them either.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>If they see Diep with blue interface as Deep Blue, obviously
>>>>>>they will see Deep Junior as the latest Deep Blue version.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>In some respects they are right. It's also focussed upon getting
>>>>>>a shitload of nodes a second, it's searching deep, and it's positional
>>>>>>play is not very good.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Perhaps Kramnik will understand soon how stpuid he was. We can only
>>>>>>hope Kasparov does by now.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I guess IBM marketing department managed to inform at least 30% of
>>>>>>the world population about Deep Blue solving chess in 1997.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The only question i ask myself is: How big of a crowd will in december
>>>>>>2002 be reached?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Knowing how many TV crews are in Jerusalem, perhaps they reach some market
>>>>>>there.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 11:53:26, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 18:24:44, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 13:12:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 10:22:39, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 08:34:31, Fernando Villegas wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>It is not valid that they created an awful machine. They didn't
>>>>>>>>>>>play any computerchess world championship nor did they join any
>>>>>>>>>>>other computer chess events where the european programs could measure
>>>>>>>>>>>themselves with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>After 1995 they quit facing european programs.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>All we know is a few horrible games from both deep blue and kasparov.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>It is not trivial that deep blue 1997 could show better play
>>>>>>>>>>>than the poor level in these games.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>It is for sure that kasparov is the person to blame of course. he
>>>>>>>>>>>was not only an idiot, he was also bad for chess.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Where the 4-4 from kramnik is a sad reality, he will be able to possibly
>>>>>>>>>>>face other programs again. Kasparov will play junior.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>So kasparov made _one_ big mistake in resigning a drawn position, and mixing up
>>>>>>>>>>an opening (if that is really what happened) sequence of moves, and he is an
>>>>>>>>>>idiot.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Kramnik resigned a drawn game, and blew a couple of openings, and he is "ok"???
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>not that i want to take sides in any debate involving deep blue, but:
>>>>>>>>>kramnik resigned a drawn game, true, but it was very hard to spot. and i don't
>>>>>>>>>know where he "blew openings" - not even one.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I was talking about anti-computer more than anything else.  His first four
>>>>>>>>openings were
>>>>>>>>tame and nearly perfect for playing against a computer.  Then he got more
>>>>>>>>aggressive and
>>>>>>>>left his original plan, it seems...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>actually, to me it seemed as if the fritz team changed something in the openings
>>>>>>>after 4 games, not kramnik. kramnik did NOT play anti-fritz chess in this match.
>>>>>>>he played "kramnik as usual", which is quite good as anti-computer-chess goes,
>>>>>>>of course. i had this impression already after the first 4 games, that kramnik
>>>>>>>was not playing specific anti-computer lines he discovered at home (i really
>>>>>>>hope we'll get some insight into his preparation some day - e.g. did he know
>>>>>>>..Bf8?? was coming), but just his usual openings. i don't think kramnik changed
>>>>>>>anything after game 4. personally, i think his super-blunder in game 5 changed
>>>>>>>the match completely - kramnik probably makes such a blunder once in 100 or more
>>>>>>>games at most, and fritz just got lucky. i think that kramnik then wanted to
>>>>>>>"make up for it" with a brilliant game 6 and that backfired too (naturally...),
>>>>>>>and then he was only a shadow of his usual self for games 7 and 8... at least it
>>>>>>>should teach him a good lesson if he ever has another go at the computer!
>>>>>>>i also think your are generally right that kramnik just lost his concentration a
>>>>>>>bit after the first 4 games when everything was going so smoothly. that is just
>>>>>>>very human :-)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Somehow your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Fritz couldn't beat Kramnik in the match  even after he made at _least_ one
>>>>>>>>>>trivial-to-spot
>>>>>>>>>>blunder that turned a dead draw into a dead loss a piece down.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>kramnik made exactly ONE trivial-to-spot blunder, Qc4??. the position was not a
>>>>>>>>>dead draw without that blunder. i think it's a draw, but if kramnik had been
>>>>>>>>>100% sure that this was in fact a dead draw, he could have gone into this ending
>>>>>>>>>by force - and he didnt, which tells us something about what kramnik thought
>>>>>>>>>about this ending - that it was not *dead* drawn.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>My point was that in the Kasparov vs Deep Blue match, Kasparov resigned in a
>>>>>>>>game
>>>>>>>>that he thought was lost.  But which deep analysis showed was drawn.  Kramnik
>>>>>>>>resigned
>>>>>>>>a game that was probably drawn, although it has not been subjected to the same
>>>>>>>>analysis as
>>>>>>>>the DB/GK game.  But the similarity is there, he resigned _too early_.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>you can say that with the benefit of hindsight. lots of people wrote this here,
>>>>>>>but it's just not true. if you are sitting at the board, and only see losses,
>>>>>>>you resign. which means if you do not see the "miracle save" in that position,
>>>>>>>you resign - there is no point in playing on if you do not see it, because every
>>>>>>>other possible line will just lose. you cannot call resigning in that position
>>>>>>>an "easy-to-spot-blunder", just as you cannot call kasparov's resignation an
>>>>>>>"easy-to-spot-blunder". it was a wrong decision obviously, but not easy to
>>>>>>>spot...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>In the last game Kasparov made what most considered to be a blunder with h6.
>>>>>>>>Kramnik
>>>>>>>>_clearly_ blundered a piece and turned a probable draw into a sure loss with one
>>>>>>>>move that
>>>>>>>>takes most programs a few milliseconds to spot as losing.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Yet Kasparov was routinely criticized as playing like a 2000 player, yet Kramnik
>>>>>>>>has not
>>>>>>>>gotten any such comments.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Everything is the _same_ except for the opponents.  One was the hated Deep Blue
>>>>>>>>from IBM,
>>>>>>>>the other is a popular micro program...  :)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Nxf7 turned out to be a mistake too, but much more in the sense that you should
>>>>>>>>>not play this way against computers, and specially not when you are leading with
>>>>>>>>>+1. in a chess sense, it is very far from "trivial to spot"... as it turns out,
>>>>>>>>>Nxf7 was a ?? for kramnik for the rest of the match - he couldnt recover after
>>>>>>>>>game 6...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I concsider that to be a strategic blunder, if not a tactical blunder.  But that
>>>>>>>>only
>>>>>>>>highlights the issue here.  Kramnik actually played much worse overall than
>>>>>>>>Kasparov
>>>>>>>>did, but was still able to draw the match.  I think the first four games were
>>>>>>>>more revealing
>>>>>>>>to me, personally.  The last 4 games seemed to be twilight-zone stuff...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>i don't know how you can say that kramnik played "much worse". i see that both
>>>>>>>players made one big chess blunder (...h6 for kasparov in game 6, ...Qc4 for
>>>>>>>kramnik in game 5), both resigned a drawn position where it was extremely hard
>>>>>>>to spot that it was a draw, and apart from that i see no real blunders.
>>>>>>>obviously, Nxf7 by kramnik is a very questionable decision, but then you can say
>>>>>>>kramnik made 3 mistakes in 8 games and kasparov 2 in 6, which is very close to
>>>>>>>each other.
>>>>>>>besides, kramnik played excellent anti-computer-chess in games 1-4, and you
>>>>>>>cannot say that kasparov played a single excellent anti-computer game in the
>>>>>>>whole match.
>>>>>>>on the other hand, DB played a great game (the one where kasparov resigned where
>>>>>>>he had a perpetual), outplaying kasparov completely, something which DF never
>>>>>>>did to kramnik in the whole match.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>judging from the games, DF certainly didn't seem to be "much better than DB",
>>>>>>>>>which at least didnt produce such ridiculous moves as DF did :-)
>>>>>>>>>which is not to say that DB would not have been capable of playing such moves
>>>>>>>>>too...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>I certainly agree.  Kramnik made more bad moves than Kasparov, yet he didn't
>>>>>>>>lose
>>>>>>>>the match. That says something...
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>While Deep Blue
>>>>>>>>>>_did_
>>>>>>>>>>beat Kasparov in a match where both made mistakes.  And Fritz is much better
>>>>>>>>>>than
>>>>>>>>>>deep blue?
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Somehow, again, your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>In fact, your "logic" is really just a form of envy/agenda, IMHO...
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Perhaps kasparov has LEARNED a bit more than kramnik has.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>If you lose once from the thing, then only when you are world champion
>>>>>>>>>>>you can play it again. But for sure is that fritz exists as software
>>>>>>>>>>>and you can buy it and play it, and it joins tournaments too usual.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>that's not the case with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>We just know it sucked ass, based upon its play. Kasparov sucked even
>>>>>>>>>>>more of course, but he always got away with poor chess against programs.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>In fact it is realistic that he didn't care for getting 2.5-2.5, just
>>>>>>>>>>>game 6 IMHO he was imagining deep blue to be so bad, like 1980 software,
>>>>>>>>>>>that he thought he coudl get back to a draw or something, after playing
>>>>>>>>>>>horrible blunders like b5.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>We do not know. All we know is that humans when playing computers do not
>>>>>>>>>>>show very good play. Look to kramnik. he plays the first 4 games like
>>>>>>>>>>>he plays rapid games. He gets 3-1 then (lucky machine) and the rest of
>>>>>>>>>>>the games he doesn't care simply.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>But still 4-4 is acceptible from historic viewpoint.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>What we do know is that kasparov has on average played 1-1 against
>>>>>>>>>>>deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>First match easy win 4-2, second match by some poor games a loss 3.5-2.5
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Then IBM stopped. Wise decision. AFter so much  marketing that deep blue
>>>>>>>>>>>has solved chess even, they had to quit of course. Or they would look
>>>>>>>>>>>stupid in 1998.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>Bob
>>>>>>>>>>>>Feng DO mention problems with the program by Thomas. If they were enough to
>>>>>>>>>>>>speak of "full of.." or not it is a matter of tastes in the writting style. My
>>>>>>>>>>>>impression was and still is that the author did have many problems and even so
>>>>>>>>>>>>they created an awful machine. Of course this does not means the software
>>>>>>>>>>>>problem were more or worst than the hardware problems.
>>>>>>>>>>>>Anyway the core of my mressions is the first: DP could have been absolutely
>>>>>>>>>>>>untouchable if worked one year more.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>My best
>>>>>>>>>>>>Fernando



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