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Subject: Re: Behind deep Blue

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 10:21:27 10/24/02

Go up one level in this thread


On October 24, 2002 at 06:15:14, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:

>On October 23, 2002 at 14:25:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>'a gm i saw blundering'. Wow good from you. 80 years old
>and called Bronstein or something?

Nope.  As I said, GMs playing in events like Los Palmas, and other such
super-GM invitationals...

>
>Or a 2495 rated GM and busy telling his wife he's back home soon
>in his mobile phone because he is bored from this tournament
>as he has no chance to win prices anyway anymore?
>
>Or some kind of 'invitation group' where winning is not so important
>and just a show to the sponsor matters?

Maybe an event with most of the top 20 GMs?  Including Kasparov and
so forth?




>
>Or getting a million dollar paid in advance to play a chessprogram
>instead of 700k if he wins?
>
>Such kind of examples you have?
>


Nope...  that is your wild hand-waving stuff, not mine.  I was _very_ specific
about the
errors I saw and the kind of event they were made in, and the kind of player
that made them.
If you choose not to read, that is your failing, not mine...




>Your point is wrong. Please show me kasparov-kramnik games
>and how many 1b blunders they make there.

I am running a test on 180 Kramnik games right now.



>
>Of course if they have a won position and win the position (even if
>there is a mate in 11 or whatever) that doesn't count.
>

Depends.  If the move they make _could_ have produced a draw, then it
does count...



>It's about blowing won positions to a draw or a loss and a drawn position
>to a loss.

I agree and said that.


>
>That's the key thing.
>
>I won't say i will play a russian roulette if there has been such
>a blunder in the kasparov-kramnik games, but i could do the bet.
>
>You won't find *any*.
>
>Even when kramnik was 16 years old...
>

Better not bet.  Crafty has already found a few...  More after it finishes the
complete set of PGN and everyone can go over the blunders to see if they are
simply blunders, or they are just too deep for a one second search to
understand.




>
>
>
>>On October 23, 2002 at 13:19:41, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On October 23, 2002 at 11:26:38, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On October 23, 2002 at 05:08:11, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 17:29:53, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>let's be clear. the kramnik guy was happy to receive
>>>>>a million dollar in advance. Without much effort he played
>>>>>a few moves and it was 3-1. Then everyone started complaining
>>>>>that the match got no publicity and got no excitement.
>>>>>
>>>>>He then gives away a piece in a clear drawn position with
>>>>>a 1b trick (1 check in between). That's bullet blunder level.
>>>>>
>>>>>In fact i don't make such mistakes that much at bullet and
>>>>>last time i made such a mistake at slow level was a year or
>>>>>10 ago. Kramnik had plenty of time.
>>>>>
>>>>>0% chance he didn't deliberately blunder there.
>>>>
>>>>I think that is a totally stupid statement to make.  I can point out GM blunders
>>>>in _every_ tournament I have watched online.  I have seen them overlook a mate
>>>>in 2.  A hanging queen.  You-name-it.  Human GMs _do_ make mistakes.  Not as
>>>>often as non-GM players, but also far more often than "never".
>>>
>>>Ha the 'expert' is speaking here.
>>>
>>>In important matches the only few blunders i remember are also from
>>>a year or 10 ago, and most definitely not from Kramnik, and always
>>>in *big* time trouble.
>>
>>Not in every game I have seen.  I saw a GM think for 20 minutes, with plenty of
>>time left, and he made a move that forced him to give up his queen to avoid a
>>mate
>>the very next move.  It happens, regardless of your hand-waving.
>>
>>
>>>
>>>Kramnik had 15 minutes left here...
>>>
>>>So forget your online toying. Online games aren't earning money.
>>
>>
>>
>>Vincent, I was talking about Las Palmas a few years ago.  GM vs GM.  Not online
>>vs a computer.  Please read first, and then respond, rather than writing stuff
>>that is
>>unrelated to my point in any way...
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>You know that, and i know it.
>>
>>I know that GM players make ugly blunders in real games vs other GM players,
>>even
>>after thinking 20 minutes.  Kramnik dropped a piece after a long think against
>>Fritz.
>>It happens.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>What i remember is something from the 80s. A match Kasparov-Karpov,
>>>where Karpov makes a mistake in the endgame. If i show you the position
>>>you will most likely call it 'every day blunder stuff'.
>>>
>>>You should realize how well these guys are playing always.
>>
>>Never said otherwise.  But they _do_ make basic blunders on occasion, and not
>>only when in dire time trouble either...
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>They are not people who make a blunder in every game they play.
>>
>>So?  Kramnik didn't make a blunder in every game he played vs Fritz either...
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>They have for years nightmares when they blunder in a game without
>>>major time pressure.
>>>
>>>Kramnik had no pressure here.
>>>
>>>Apart from that, what's the last game you played 40 in 2 online?
>>>
>>>I can't remember any GM playing 40 in 2 online. Do you?
>>
>>I wasn't talking about GM vs Computer, as I said.  Crafty was simply giving
>>analysis
>>as ICC relayed live games from events like Los Palmas (los or las, I don't
>>remember)...
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>He just didn't care. He wasn't shocked after the blunder.
>>>>>
>>>>>It was 3-2.
>>>>>
>>>>>then some beginner game at round 6. he has white. No way
>>>>>with his default play to even draw it. He would win it
>>>>>without problems. So kramnik decides to put some fire in
>>>>>the game and plays open position. A line he has never played
>>>>>before.
>>>>>
>>>>>To play Bxf7 objective criteria are not there. There is just
>>>>>one criteria: "make the match exciting".
>>>>>
>>>>>Of course that's very hard if you play your entire life 1.Nf3,
>>>>>so for a change he played some other d4 c4 line and opened the
>>>>>position. Then give away a piece for a few checks and the
>>>>>crowd has something
>>>>>
>>>>>3-3
>>>>>
>>>>>Exciting enough for the sponsor?
>>>>>
>>>>>Yes. So 2 quick draws are enough. Kramnik could have won game 8
>>>>>if he wanted to. He didn't want to. he gave it draw.
>>>>>
>>>>>Of course that openings line he normally doesn't play.
>>>>>
>>>>>So i was unhappy, i had expected kramnik to just make default moves
>>>>>and win at least with 4.5 - 3.5
>>>>>
>>>>>Anyway, this match drew no attention at all. No newspaper and no TV
>>>>>station and no one saw it. I can't speak for german newspapers, but
>>>>>at ARD,ZDF and WDR i didn't see anything broadcasted yet.
>>>>>
>>>>>30 seconds at CNN, and even those 30 seconds i missed. That's all that
>>>>>is broadcasted AFAIK.
>>>>>
>>>>>This match was not important. This match is not important. This match
>>>>>will never be important except for sales for chessbase and 4-4 on their
>>>>>box not showing a picture of kramnik, becuase no one knows the guy.
>>>>>
>>>>>I find kramnik stupid to not play 1 good game at the end.
>>>>>
>>>>>Whole match has been dominated again by games with stupid openings and
>>>>>many sidelines and even openings kramnik never played before his entire
>>>>>life.
>>>>>
>>>>>The match will be forgotten.
>>>>>
>>>>>Kasparov - Junior will draw hopefully more attention from the big crowds.
>>>>>
>>>>>Of course 'deep junior' the big crowd wil not see as a program called 'junior'.
>>>>>
>>>>>They will see it as a successor of deep blue of course.
>>>>>
>>>>>First you have 'deep blue' where they needed some old big machine,
>>>>>then you have 'deep junior'. Very logical. I will not even explain
>>>>>it too much around me. It's impossible to explain.
>>>>>
>>>>>computer = computer. Deep == Deep == Diep
>>>>>
>>>>>I stopped already long time ago explaining that Diep != Deep Blue
>>>>>You can't help it. You can't blame them either.
>>>>>
>>>>>If they see Diep with blue interface as Deep Blue, obviously
>>>>>they will see Deep Junior as the latest Deep Blue version.
>>>>>
>>>>>In some respects they are right. It's also focussed upon getting
>>>>>a shitload of nodes a second, it's searching deep, and it's positional
>>>>>play is not very good.
>>>>>
>>>>>Perhaps Kramnik will understand soon how stpuid he was. We can only
>>>>>hope Kasparov does by now.
>>>>>
>>>>>I guess IBM marketing department managed to inform at least 30% of
>>>>>the world population about Deep Blue solving chess in 1997.
>>>>>
>>>>>The only question i ask myself is: How big of a crowd will in december
>>>>>2002 be reached?
>>>>>
>>>>>Knowing how many TV crews are in Jerusalem, perhaps they reach some market
>>>>>there.
>>>>>
>>>>>>On October 22, 2002 at 11:53:26, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 18:24:44, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 13:12:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 10:22:39, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 08:34:31, Fernando Villegas wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>It is not valid that they created an awful machine. They didn't
>>>>>>>>>>play any computerchess world championship nor did they join any
>>>>>>>>>>other computer chess events where the european programs could measure
>>>>>>>>>>themselves with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>After 1995 they quit facing european programs.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>All we know is a few horrible games from both deep blue and kasparov.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>It is not trivial that deep blue 1997 could show better play
>>>>>>>>>>than the poor level in these games.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>It is for sure that kasparov is the person to blame of course. he
>>>>>>>>>>was not only an idiot, he was also bad for chess.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Where the 4-4 from kramnik is a sad reality, he will be able to possibly
>>>>>>>>>>face other programs again. Kasparov will play junior.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>So kasparov made _one_ big mistake in resigning a drawn position, and mixing up
>>>>>>>>>an opening (if that is really what happened) sequence of moves, and he is an
>>>>>>>>>idiot.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Kramnik resigned a drawn game, and blew a couple of openings, and he is "ok"???
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>not that i want to take sides in any debate involving deep blue, but:
>>>>>>>>kramnik resigned a drawn game, true, but it was very hard to spot. and i don't
>>>>>>>>know where he "blew openings" - not even one.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I was talking about anti-computer more than anything else.  His first four
>>>>>>>openings were
>>>>>>>tame and nearly perfect for playing against a computer.  Then he got more
>>>>>>>aggressive and
>>>>>>>left his original plan, it seems...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>actually, to me it seemed as if the fritz team changed something in the openings
>>>>>>after 4 games, not kramnik. kramnik did NOT play anti-fritz chess in this match.
>>>>>>he played "kramnik as usual", which is quite good as anti-computer-chess goes,
>>>>>>of course. i had this impression already after the first 4 games, that kramnik
>>>>>>was not playing specific anti-computer lines he discovered at home (i really
>>>>>>hope we'll get some insight into his preparation some day - e.g. did he know
>>>>>>..Bf8?? was coming), but just his usual openings. i don't think kramnik changed
>>>>>>anything after game 4. personally, i think his super-blunder in game 5 changed
>>>>>>the match completely - kramnik probably makes such a blunder once in 100 or more
>>>>>>games at most, and fritz just got lucky. i think that kramnik then wanted to
>>>>>>"make up for it" with a brilliant game 6 and that backfired too (naturally...),
>>>>>>and then he was only a shadow of his usual self for games 7 and 8... at least it
>>>>>>should teach him a good lesson if he ever has another go at the computer!
>>>>>>i also think your are generally right that kramnik just lost his concentration a
>>>>>>bit after the first 4 games when everything was going so smoothly. that is just
>>>>>>very human :-)
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Somehow your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Fritz couldn't beat Kramnik in the match  even after he made at _least_ one
>>>>>>>>>trivial-to-spot
>>>>>>>>>blunder that turned a dead draw into a dead loss a piece down.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>kramnik made exactly ONE trivial-to-spot blunder, Qc4??. the position was not a
>>>>>>>>dead draw without that blunder. i think it's a draw, but if kramnik had been
>>>>>>>>100% sure that this was in fact a dead draw, he could have gone into this ending
>>>>>>>>by force - and he didnt, which tells us something about what kramnik thought
>>>>>>>>about this ending - that it was not *dead* drawn.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>My point was that in the Kasparov vs Deep Blue match, Kasparov resigned in a
>>>>>>>game
>>>>>>>that he thought was lost.  But which deep analysis showed was drawn.  Kramnik
>>>>>>>resigned
>>>>>>>a game that was probably drawn, although it has not been subjected to the same
>>>>>>>analysis as
>>>>>>>the DB/GK game.  But the similarity is there, he resigned _too early_.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>you can say that with the benefit of hindsight. lots of people wrote this here,
>>>>>>but it's just not true. if you are sitting at the board, and only see losses,
>>>>>>you resign. which means if you do not see the "miracle save" in that position,
>>>>>>you resign - there is no point in playing on if you do not see it, because every
>>>>>>other possible line will just lose. you cannot call resigning in that position
>>>>>>an "easy-to-spot-blunder", just as you cannot call kasparov's resignation an
>>>>>>"easy-to-spot-blunder". it was a wrong decision obviously, but not easy to
>>>>>>spot...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>In the last game Kasparov made what most considered to be a blunder with h6.
>>>>>>>Kramnik
>>>>>>>_clearly_ blundered a piece and turned a probable draw into a sure loss with one
>>>>>>>move that
>>>>>>>takes most programs a few milliseconds to spot as losing.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Yet Kasparov was routinely criticized as playing like a 2000 player, yet Kramnik
>>>>>>>has not
>>>>>>>gotten any such comments.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Everything is the _same_ except for the opponents.  One was the hated Deep Blue
>>>>>>>from IBM,
>>>>>>>the other is a popular micro program...  :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Nxf7 turned out to be a mistake too, but much more in the sense that you should
>>>>>>>>not play this way against computers, and specially not when you are leading with
>>>>>>>>+1. in a chess sense, it is very far from "trivial to spot"... as it turns out,
>>>>>>>>Nxf7 was a ?? for kramnik for the rest of the match - he couldnt recover after
>>>>>>>>game 6...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I concsider that to be a strategic blunder, if not a tactical blunder.  But that
>>>>>>>only
>>>>>>>highlights the issue here.  Kramnik actually played much worse overall than
>>>>>>>Kasparov
>>>>>>>did, but was still able to draw the match.  I think the first four games were
>>>>>>>more revealing
>>>>>>>to me, personally.  The last 4 games seemed to be twilight-zone stuff...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>i don't know how you can say that kramnik played "much worse". i see that both
>>>>>>players made one big chess blunder (...h6 for kasparov in game 6, ...Qc4 for
>>>>>>kramnik in game 5), both resigned a drawn position where it was extremely hard
>>>>>>to spot that it was a draw, and apart from that i see no real blunders.
>>>>>>obviously, Nxf7 by kramnik is a very questionable decision, but then you can say
>>>>>>kramnik made 3 mistakes in 8 games and kasparov 2 in 6, which is very close to
>>>>>>each other.
>>>>>>besides, kramnik played excellent anti-computer-chess in games 1-4, and you
>>>>>>cannot say that kasparov played a single excellent anti-computer game in the
>>>>>>whole match.
>>>>>>on the other hand, DB played a great game (the one where kasparov resigned where
>>>>>>he had a perpetual), outplaying kasparov completely, something which DF never
>>>>>>did to kramnik in the whole match.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>judging from the games, DF certainly didn't seem to be "much better than DB",
>>>>>>>>which at least didnt produce such ridiculous moves as DF did :-)
>>>>>>>>which is not to say that DB would not have been capable of playing such moves
>>>>>>>>too...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>I certainly agree.  Kramnik made more bad moves than Kasparov, yet he didn't
>>>>>>>lose
>>>>>>>the match. That says something...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>aloha
>>>>>>>>  martin
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>While Deep Blue
>>>>>>>>>_did_
>>>>>>>>>beat Kasparov in a match where both made mistakes.  And Fritz is much better
>>>>>>>>>than
>>>>>>>>>deep blue?
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Somehow, again, your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>In fact, your "logic" is really just a form of envy/agenda, IMHO...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Perhaps kasparov has LEARNED a bit more than kramnik has.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>If you lose once from the thing, then only when you are world champion
>>>>>>>>>>you can play it again. But for sure is that fritz exists as software
>>>>>>>>>>and you can buy it and play it, and it joins tournaments too usual.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>that's not the case with deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>We just know it sucked ass, based upon its play. Kasparov sucked even
>>>>>>>>>>more of course, but he always got away with poor chess against programs.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>In fact it is realistic that he didn't care for getting 2.5-2.5, just
>>>>>>>>>>game 6 IMHO he was imagining deep blue to be so bad, like 1980 software,
>>>>>>>>>>that he thought he coudl get back to a draw or something, after playing
>>>>>>>>>>horrible blunders like b5.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>We do not know. All we know is that humans when playing computers do not
>>>>>>>>>>show very good play. Look to kramnik. he plays the first 4 games like
>>>>>>>>>>he plays rapid games. He gets 3-1 then (lucky machine) and the rest of
>>>>>>>>>>the games he doesn't care simply.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>But still 4-4 is acceptible from historic viewpoint.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>What we do know is that kasparov has on average played 1-1 against
>>>>>>>>>>deep blue.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>First match easy win 4-2, second match by some poor games a loss 3.5-2.5
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Then IBM stopped. Wise decision. AFter so much  marketing that deep blue
>>>>>>>>>>has solved chess even, they had to quit of course. Or they would look
>>>>>>>>>>stupid in 1998.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Bob
>>>>>>>>>>>Feng DO mention problems with the program by Thomas. If they were enough to
>>>>>>>>>>>speak of "full of.." or not it is a matter of tastes in the writting style. My
>>>>>>>>>>>impression was and still is that the author did have many problems and even so
>>>>>>>>>>>they created an awful machine. Of course this does not means the software
>>>>>>>>>>>problem were more or worst than the hardware problems.
>>>>>>>>>>>Anyway the core of my mressions is the first: DP could have been absolutely
>>>>>>>>>>>untouchable if worked one year more.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>My best
>>>>>>>>>>>Fernando



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