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Subject: Re: Intel will benefit from this tefchnological advance gradually !

Author: Jesper Antonsson

Date: 22:56:26 12/16/02

Go up one level in this thread


On December 16, 2002 at 19:55:47, Matt Taylor wrote:

>On December 16, 2002 at 18:35:21, Jesper Antonsson wrote:
>
>>On December 16, 2002 at 18:18:19, Alessandro Damiani wrote:
>>
>>>On December 16, 2002 at 17:42:08, Jesper Antonsson wrote:
>>>
>>>>On December 16, 2002 at 07:48:59, Sally Weltrop wrote:
>>>>>On December 16, 2002 at 04:52:40, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>>>>>>Intel could produce a microprocessor capable of 10 Ghz very soon, but they
>>>>>>simply won't because they have to profit gradually from 3Ghz to 4 Ghz to 5Ghz
>>>>>>etc... Simply the Murphy LAW is a profitable marketing strategy that has worked
>>>>>>gradually, if they make the mistake of producing a microprocessor capable of 10
>>>>>>Ghz in the next 6 months they will lose a lot of money, by NOT squeezing our
>>>>>>pockets every six months as they have done for the last 20 years.
>>>>>
>>>>>excellent point.
>>>>
>>>>Sorry, no, it's far from excellent, actually the reasoning is invalid. Intel has
>>>>competition, and that means that if they could churn out faster processors (at
>>>>reasonable costs) but doesn't, AMD or someone else would do it and take over
>>>>Intels market shares and profits.
>>>>
>>>>/Jesper
>>>
>>>Right, if Intel and AMD don't make an agreement to go for the smaller steps to
>>>make more profit together. This would be against law. Great law! ;)
>>>
>>>Alessandro
>>
>>Yes. :-) And also, for such a conspiracy not to be obvious (and get police
>>attention), IBM, Compaq, Sun etc has to be in on it too, because it would look
>>peculiar if PowerPCs, StrongARMs, Alphas and SPARCs suddenly turned up at 10
>>GHz, but the same didn't happen on the x86 market.
>>
>>/Jesper
>
>No it wouldn't.

Yes it would.

>MHz is only relevant within a design. There exist 10 GHz
>processors right now.

Any of them one of the processors I mentioned? Otherwise your point is moot.

>Also, consider Itanium which runs around 800 MHz. Seems
>slow? It outperforms a Pentium 4 3.06 GHz. IBM has a 125 MHz processor which
>will outperform ~1 GHz x86 chips. AthlonXP 2700 runs at 2.17 GHz and is roughly
>as fast as a Pentium 4 2.8 GHz.

Yes.

>
>Whether or not AMD and Intel have a private agreement is speculation; however, I
>find it more than curious that they release new chips at the same time.

That kind of adaptions I don't find curious at all.

>Also
>interesting is that the P4 3.06 GHz is the same silicon that my roommate has
>inside his Pentium 4 1.8 GHz chip.

No, it's not the same. It may seem the same and have the same function, and even
have the same design, but most likely, the 3 GHz chip is produced with better
quality (purity, exactness and so on).

>Bottom line: Intel was able run 3 GHz last year, but they've waited a year to
>release it to the general public. There's something to speculate about.

They weren't able to run at 3 GHz reliably and in quantity last year. The
fine-tune production processes until the yield and quality goes up. Last year
they couldn't have churned out a lot of 3 GHz processors.

/Jesper



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