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Subject: (correspondence champ). Probably when the Star Sapphire comes out.

Author: J. C. Boco

Date: 08:07:00 01/01/03

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On December 31, 2002 at 19:40:20, Jorge Pichard wrote:

>When will a chess Program be stronger than Victor Palciauskas in correspondence
>chess, without the World Champion getting any assistance from another chess
>program?
>
>http://www.correspondencechess.com/palciauskas/

Probably when the Novag Star Sapphire comes out.

I don't think the top gun in correspondence chess will ever be defeated in an
extended match game.  In this form of chess, you can lay exceptionally deep
positional tricks onto a computer.  There are some arguments on CC that a
doubling of speed is about equal to a ply (or two half moves).  Given Moore's
Law, which is expected to run out near 2020 (isn't it?) there are about 5
doublings left.  Where does that leave us?  A 100GHz processor?  How many ply
would that think ahead?  I just don't think enough.

A quantum computer, someday, maybe.  But I distinguish this type of computer
which still lies shrouded in science fiction (in the sense of having a practical
tabletop model that anyone can buy), from the usual definition of a computer.
Hmmmmm....., maybe this is why the Star Sapphire hasn't come out yet!  :-)  They
are having touble with those electrons tunneling through the cheap plastic
housing.  :-)



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