Author: Christophe Theron
Date: 07:50:24 01/02/03
Go up one level in this thread
On January 01, 2003 at 11:07:00, J. C. Boco wrote:
>On December 31, 2002 at 19:40:20, Jorge Pichard wrote:
>
>>When will a chess Program be stronger than Victor Palciauskas in correspondence
>>chess, without the World Champion getting any assistance from another chess
>>program?
>>
>>http://www.correspondencechess.com/palciauskas/
>
>Probably when the Novag Star Sapphire comes out.
>
>I don't think the top gun in correspondence chess will ever be defeated in an
>extended match game. In this form of chess, you can lay exceptionally deep
>positional tricks onto a computer. There are some arguments on CC that a
>doubling of speed is about equal to a ply (or two half moves). Given Moore's
>Law, which is expected to run out near 2020 (isn't it?) there are about 5
>doublings left. Where does that leave us? A 100GHz processor? How many ply
>would that think ahead? I just don't think enough.
A ply IS a half move, and Moore's law is not expected to run out near 2020.
You are also more or less ignoring the effects of potential software
breakthroughs. There are programmers working hard to improve the chess engines,
you know.
Christophe
>A quantum computer, someday, maybe. But I distinguish this type of computer
>which still lies shrouded in science fiction (in the sense of having a practical
>tabletop model that anyone can buy), from the usual definition of a computer.
>Hmmmmm....., maybe this is why the Star Sapphire hasn't come out yet! :-) They
>are having touble with those electrons tunneling through the cheap plastic
>housing. :-)
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