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Subject: Re: What Was Deep Thought's ICC Rating??

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 08:38:24 03/24/03

Go up one level in this thread


On March 24, 2003 at 05:22:55, Chris Carson wrote:

>On March 23, 2003 at 21:05:45, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On March 23, 2003 at 11:22:47, Chris Carson wrote:
>>
>>>On March 23, 2003 at 10:55:09, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On March 23, 2003 at 09:32:04, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On March 23, 2003 at 00:03:46, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On March 22, 2003 at 05:29:41, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 22:47:29, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 16:46:42, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 16:12:46, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 15:36:43, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 14:26:53, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 11:13:39, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 10:20:53, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 21, 2003 at 08:17:32, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 20, 2003 at 23:32:19, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 20, 2003 at 19:19:44, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 20, 2003 at 18:57:55, Russell Reagan wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>On March 20, 2003 at 17:07:11, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>It's always interesting to read your short snippets about the history of
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>computer chess. So when are you going to do us all a favor and write a book? :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>It was named "scratchy".  It had the best win/lose record of anything that ever
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>played on
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>ICC.  Something like 130 wins, 1 loss or some such.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Even with all of the rating addicts who no-play other computers, no computer has
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>surpassed this mark?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I think that it is easy to surpass that mark.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>You only need to have friends that you can always beat and set a formula to play
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>only against your friends.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Not if almost all the opponents are GM players.  :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Hmm, wonder how DT would do against todays "inflated" GM's whe have better
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>anti-computer experience and knowledg?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I'd suspect it would do the same as it did back then.  The people that played it
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>a lot already
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>knew a lot about anti-computer play and they knew how dangerous the machine was.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Also wonder how DT would do against
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>players who use 1Ghz or faster comps/programs to help if they played DT today?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>No idea.  Most of the DT games on the chess server were 2 12 type games, so
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>using
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>a computer to help the human would be doable...
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I am sure that DT would not be 130 points higher than anyone or thing on ICC
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>today.  DT was ancient history and so was DB, good in their day, but that day is
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>past.  You can see DBII at the Smithsonian here in DC.  It is gone and in a
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>museum with all the other old relics.  ;)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>The atomic bombs are "relics of the past" as well.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>But don't screw around with those relics.  There's nothing else close to them,
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>60 years after
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>they were created.  :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Old != obsolete.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>I do not think DT would do as well today, not even close.  The Nukes of 60 years
>>>>>>>>>>>>>ago were very dangerous, however, they are not even close to the strength of
>>>>>>>>>>>>>todays bombs or even bombs from the mid 1950's.  Technology moves foward.  DT
>>>>>>>>>>>>>was great in it's day, but that day is gone.  You can see it for free here in DC
>>>>>>>>>>>>>and go across the street and see the airplanes/bombs from the 1940's (still
>>>>>>>>>>>>>dangerous) to the 1990's (very dangerous, no comparison, all obsolete).  Same
>>>>>>>>>>>>>for the Dino's (dangerous, but obsolete).  :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>old technology != current technology strength/destruction/performance
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>That's a serious mistake to make.  Back in my active Karate days, when we had an
>>>>>>>>>>>>annual state event, there was one "old geezer" that was always there competing
>>>>>>>>>>>>in
>>>>>>>>>>>>the 3-4 degree black belt group.  And several used to comment about "jeez, hope
>>>>>>>>>>>>I don't
>>>>>>>>>>>>draw him for a match, but I'll try to take it easy on him if I do..."
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>That "old geezer" put more black belts flat on their backs than any other single
>>>>>>>>>>>>competitor at the events.  :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>_never_ underestimate something just because it is "old".  Deep Thought is
>>>>>>>>>>>>_still_
>>>>>>>>>>>>faster than any PC program running today, although the PCs are getting closer
>>>>>>>>>>>>every
>>>>>>>>>>>>six months.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>I do not see how can you compare speed.
>>>>>>>>>>>Nodes per second mean nothing and I know that Deep thought has some problems
>>>>>>>>>>>with repetition detection so I cannot compare their nodes with nodes of other
>>>>>>>>>>>programs.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Deep Thought had a max search speed of 14,000,000 nodes per second.  I
>>>>>>>>>>can certainly compare that to machines of today at 1ghz, and conclude
>>>>>>>>>>that I'd rather have deep thought.  It obviously wasn't weak, producing a
>>>>>>>>>>2650 result against 25 consecutive GM players.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>I dind't try to conclude _exactly_ how much better or worse Deep Thought
>>>>>>>>>>might be.  I just concluded that it would certainly not be a  _lot_ weaker than
>>>>>>>>>>today's programs, and probably a bit bit stronger in fact.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>It is comparing apples with orange because the program of today cannot run on
>>>>>>>>>>>deep thought hardware and deep thought could not run on today machines.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>Nobody suggested either to the best of my knowledge.  Just comparing deep
>>>>>>>>>>thought
>>>>>>>>>>to a 1ghz processor/program today.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>Speed is also not the point but level of chess and there was a big progress in
>>>>>>>>>>>software from the time of deep thought(for commercial programs more than 200
>>>>>>>>>>>ssdf points on the same hardware).
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>what "big progress"?  DT did pretty well against GM players.  On ultra-fast
>>>>>>>>>>hardware today's programs might well be better.  But at just 1ghz I doubt it.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>The problem is that GM's of today may be prepared better against computers so
>>>>>>>>>even if programs on 1000 Mhz can do only 2600 performance against humans it does
>>>>>>>>>not prove that they are not better than deep thought.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>When Tiger14 played in argentina against humans it got a performance that is
>>>>>>>>>close to 2800 and it used less than 1 ghz.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>I believe that in other tournaments like the israeli league part of the humans
>>>>>>>>>were prepared better against computers and I know at least about one master who
>>>>>>>>>trained at home against Fritz before he drew against it(this option was not
>>>>>>>>>possible for the opponents of deep thought and looking at games is not the same
>>>>>>>>>as playing).
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>Uri
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>What was the time control of the argentina tournament?  DT played what is
>>>>>>>>probably the best time control (for humans) of 40 moves in two hours or
>>>>>>>>40 moves in 2.5 hours.  NO faster games were used for the 25 game fredkin
>>>>>>>>requirement, as the fredkin prize stipulated 40/2hrs or slower.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>40 moves in 2 hours, we have debated this over and over and over many times
>>>>>>>before.  DT is history, it can be exceeded with older commercial programs (Chess
>>>>>>>Tiger for one) on slow single processor (800 Mhz)hardware.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>I've heard the same nonsense _many_ times.  1983:  "Belle's time has passed,
>>>>>>it has been surpassed by the faster hardware and newer software."
>>>>>>
>>>>>>For an interesting tidbit, look up who won the 1986 ACM computer chess
>>>>>>tournament in Dallas Texas.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Count 'em out if you want.  But that doesn't make 'em obsolete.
>>>>>
>>>>>Obsolete: "1 a : no longer in use or no longer useful". Source Websters Online:
>>>>>http://www.m-w.com/home.htm
>>>>>
>>>>>CT/DT/DB are no longer in use.  They are still useful, but no longer in use.
>>>>>Obsolete by definition.  I wish it were not so, I would like to see a new
>>>>>version with updated s/w, hw, ..., but it is not going to happen.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Actually point 1 does not apply.  Deep Thought and Deep Blue Jr are _still_
>>>>around.  We've had DB Jr on ICC a few times giving analysis for GM games on
>>>>occasion.
>>>>
>>>>"no longer useful" certainly would not apply to a machine that fast...
>>>>
>>>>Being "inactive" is a long way from being "non-competitive" as implied.  Belle
>>>>was a prime example of that in 1986.
>>>
>>>DT is not compteative.  When was the last time it played a game?  DBjr might be
>>>competative, but would loose a match aginst any of the top 5 on 2Ghz or faster
>>>hw.
>>>
>>>I challenge you to produce DT and play any of the top 5 in a 6 game match on
>>>2Ghz HW.  Same for DBjr.  You said DT and DBjr are still around, so I call your
>>>bluff, set up the match and talk when you can produce some evidence.  Good luck.
>>>
>>>Fritz 3 beat DB prototype (DT on DB hardware) for the 1995 Computer World Chess
>>>Championship.  In Fact, the last time DT won a world Championship was in 1989
>>>(DB never won) and the last time Belle won the World Computer Chess Championship
>>>was in 1980.  The commercial programs have held the World Computer Chess
>>>Championship since 1992.
>>>
>>
>>
>>No "big iron" competed in the 1992 WCCC event.  Deep Blue prototype (deep
>>blue on deep thought hardware, not deep thought on deep bue hardware) did
>>compete and did lose a game to fritz.  One game.  If you conclude superiority
>>from one game, more power to you.  I look at the previous ten years and
>>conclude exactly the opposite.
>>
>>As far as "calling mhy bluff" there's nothing to call.  Deep Thought hardware
>>_is_ still around according to the deep blue team.  And DB Jr _has_ provided
>>analysis on ICC within the past two years.  So it _does_ exist.  Whether it
>>will every play a game against a public opponent is another matter beyond
>>my control.
>>
>>But feel free to draw any conclusion you want...
>
>We may have different opinions on this issue, however, I do value your insights
>on the subject.
>


Just remember that my "insights" are based on:

(a) programming actively in computer chess since 1968.  35 years and counting.

(b) competing actively in computer chess events since 1976.  27 years and
counting.

If I had to play Belle today I would _not_ take it lightly.  I'd expect to win,
but I'd know
that Belle was very capable of beating anything in one game.

If I had to play Deep Thought today I would take that _seriously_ as it would be
faster
still than I am on the best hardware available (PC hardware of course).  And I
would _not_
expect to win easily.  I'd be quite happy to just win at all.  I had plenty of
chances to see
its tactical skills.

While we might never _know_ how such a match would turn out, my experience says
that
it would _not_ be a foregone conclusion as to the winner, for either side.   It
would be a
_match_ to say the least...



>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>See: http://www.mark-weeks.com/chess/wcc-comp.htm



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