Author: Sandro Necchi
Date: 23:14:30 12/29/03
Go up one level in this thread
On December 29, 2003 at 13:43:18, Uri Blass wrote: >On December 29, 2003 at 13:23:33, Sandro Necchi wrote: > >>On December 29, 2003 at 12:46:47, Luis Smith wrote: >> >>>>I do agree too. >>>> >>>>Crafty has no realistic chances to win a WCCC. >>>> >>>>Sandro >>> >>>IMO only Bob can know this for sure. I think people either over estimate the >>>commercials, or underestimate Crafty. After all at the WCCC's only 11 games >>>were played, who knows what could have happened in that time, especially with >>>the kind of hardware that Dr. Hyatt could get. >> >>No, Bob does not know this. >>He is a "little outdated" on this matter. >> >>At the 2003 WCCC there were 3 favorites (Shredder, Fritz and Junior), 2 possible >>outsiders (Brutus and Diep). >> >>Based on my experience I gave these chances, before the tournament started: >> >>Shredder 35% (because of the slower hardware) >>Fritz 30% >>Junior 25% >>Brutus 7% >>Diep 3% >>rest 0% Hi Uri, > >I think that it is too risky to give 0% chances for all the rest when you do not >know what the programmers did. I amde "expectations" made on looking their previous games. >How could you know that Deep Sjeng had no chances? >After the tournament you know but not before it. I did not know it. This was my expectation. I am not like R. Hyatt that is attacking me only because I state my opinion which is different than his. I am sorry, but that is my opinion. I may be wrong. I never said I know everything, he did. I do not believe him! > >Did you know details about other programs like Jonny before the tournament? > >How could you know that all the single processors are going to lose when you do >not know what the programmers did and you cannot be sure that nobody did >something clearly better than shredder. > >You can guess that it is the case based on previous experience but you cannot be >sure and I think that it is better to give at least 2% chances for some >surprise. To me thay had 0%. This was my opinion. Maybe I was wrong, but that's was my opinion. Can I have an opinion? Sandro > >I agree that the 5 that you mention were the favourites before the tournament >but the chances of other to win should be evaluated as at least 2%. > >Uri
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