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Subject: Re: I disagree

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 11:03:00 12/30/03

Go up one level in this thread


On December 30, 2003 at 02:24:50, Sandro Necchi wrote:

>On December 30, 2003 at 01:07:08, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On December 29, 2003 at 13:43:18, Uri Blass wrote:
>>
>>>On December 29, 2003 at 13:23:33, Sandro Necchi wrote:
>>>
>>>>On December 29, 2003 at 12:46:47, Luis Smith wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>>I do agree too.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Crafty has no realistic chances to win a WCCC.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Sandro
>>>>>
>>>>>IMO only Bob can know this for sure.  I think people either over estimate the
>>>>>commercials, or underestimate Crafty.  After all at the WCCC's only 11 games
>>>>>were played, who knows what could have happened in that time, especially with
>>>>>the kind of hardware that Dr. Hyatt could get.
>>>>
>>>>No, Bob does not know this.
>>>>He is a "little outdated" on this matter.
>>>>
>>>>At the 2003 WCCC there were 3 favorites (Shredder, Fritz and Junior), 2 possible
>>>>outsiders (Brutus and Diep).
>>>>
>>>>Based on my experience I gave these chances, before the tournament started:
>>>>
>>>>Shredder 35% (because of the slower hardware)
>>>>Fritz    30%
>>>>Junior   25%
>>>>Brutus    7%
>>>>Diep      3%
>>>>rest      0%
>>>
>>>I think that it is too risky to give 0% chances for all the rest when you do not
>>>know what the programmers did.
>>>
>>>How could you know that Deep Sjeng had no chances?
>>>After the tournament you know but not before it.
>>>
>>>Did you know details about other programs like Jonny before the tournament?
>>>
>>>How could you know that all the single processors are going to lose when you do
>>>not know what the programmers did and you cannot be sure that nobody did
>>>something clearly better than shredder.
>>>
>>>You can guess that it is the case based on previous experience but you cannot be
>>>sure and I think that it is better to give at least 2% chances for some
>>>surprise.
>>>
>>>I agree that the 5 that you mention were the favourites before the tournament
>>>but the chances of other to win should be evaluated as at least 2%.
>>>
>>>Uri
>>
>>
>>I would not pay a lot of attention to his ramblings.  He completely overlooks
>>the fact that Shredder had a horrible bug,
>
>How could I know it?
>Since you think you are superior to everybody here...you saw it before the
>tournament?

Please come to the table with your hat off.

We are discussing things _after_ the tournament.  I _know_, beyond a shadow of
a doubt, that you had a horrible bug.  It was exhibited in the Jonny game for
_everyone_ to see.  If you will still claim that you had a "35% chance of
winning" then you are overlooking something _important_.

So keep this discussion in context.  You might have said "before the event
I thought we had a 35% chance of winning, but after the event, and having
seen the horrible bug we had, I think our real chances were much lower."

So _I_ am looking at everything that is known today.  And clearly the bug
is now public.



>Pls. think before saying things.
>This is the first chess lesson!
>You have been playing before I started and you did not learn this one?

You might follow your own advice.  You talk about how shredder played the
"best chess there".  Which I might not argue against, with _one_ exceptional
game against Jonny where it did _not_ play the best chess there.  You can
play 50 good moves, one blunder, and that game is _not_ going to be
remembered for the good, but for the blunder.  That is what happened here.



>
>
>>and really did not deserve to win
>>this event.  "Selective memory" and "selective search" are _not_ the same
>>idea.  :)
>
>I know this. Do you think you are the only one to know it?
>
>>
>>The real winner was Fritz.
>
>OK, so Fritz is the winner because R. Hyatt and few others think this?


No.  Because the _rules_ say it should have been the winner.  Do you not
get that _key_ point.  This is about the _rules_.  That were _not_ followed.




>
>>Shredder was _given_ the win by improper behavior,
>>when a bad programming bug should have knocked it out of the title.  If Sandro
>>is proud of that kind of title, so be it...
>
>I am proud of this title as we play some very good games.
>
>How many WCCC titles did you win? I won 4 and you?

I won two, when they were held every 3 years.  I won 3 more of the ACM
events that were held yearly.  So I guess I would say "5" if that is
important to the discussion...




>
>>But then saying that "I" count
>>too much on bugs of other programs is a bit of a laugher.
>
>This was based on the fact that you reacted like a child when I proposed to stop
>the games at -10, because you were giving up 0,001 chances to win...

I didn't react like a child, so you can take that sanctimonious crap and
shove it where appropriate.  I said "play on" because programs _do_ have
bugs.  And, if you would just pay attention for a second or two here and
there, you _did_ have a bug that should have cost you the win.  You _do_
realize that, right?  So your .001 roll of the dice came up in that game.




>
>Instead of laughing make your program stronger to show me I am wrong. You cannot
>win WCCC on words...
>
>I am wrong on this too?

Apparently you are wrong.  The just finished event was certainly won on
words, and not on rules, so who knows?




>
>"he" had the worst
>>bug that was seen there, as far as I can recall.  That wasn't _my_ doing.  :)
>
>It is better to have a bug, but a stronger program, then no bugs, but a weak
>program!

Very nice argument.  From the program's team that won when it should not
have, because of "that bug"...





>
>Sandro



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