Author: Matt Frank
Date: 16:15:30 01/29/99
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On January 29, 1999 at 18:55:44, KarinsDad wrote: >On January 29, 1999 at 17:49:26, Matt Frank wrote: > >>How about ten best GMs against ten best commercial programs? :) 2-4 rounds >>(20-40games). Y think score will be 70%-30% It will be the same as former >>Soviet Union in 60s against other world !! >> >>Raul: I'm not saying that presently, these configurations are capable of >>performances in the high 2700 elo range. No, not yet, but I do think that my >>machine as described in earlier posts, or a Hiarcs 7, Rebel >>10--EOC--Anti-Grandmaster, Fritz 5.32, on a Pentium 300, with say, 64 ram would >>be in outstanding position to be rated around 2600, FIDE elo. This would put any >>of these machines in the top 5 or so among US Grandmasters rated by the FIDE elo >>system (not USCF ratings). This still leaves us between 150 -225 rating points >>shy of World Champion status on a microprocessor. :::Dream time::: Give me a >>Williamette microporocessor (Intel, circa, 2001-2002 running at 1600 MHZ with 1 >>gig ram) and I predict that the elo for Hiarcs 7 would be about 2840. Now that >>will be World champion status, OK? >> >>Matt Frank > >At 50 to 70 ELO per doubling, you'll need more than 1600 Mhz to get to 2840. >Probably more like 6400 Mhz or more (if the doubling formula doesn't break down) >and Deep Blue was running at about 64000 Mhz equivalence (give or take) when it >lost the first time around. > >KarinsDad The Williamette chip will run 50% faster than a comparably MHZ pentium chip, and the 1 gig Ram will provide an increase in hash tables on the magnitude of 4 doublings i doubling of hash tables = 7 elo), (1) 64 to 128, (2) 128 to 256, (3) 256 to 512 and, (4) 512 to 1 gig = 28 elo. Specifically, Hiarcs 7 on 200 MHZ 64 ram = 2576: Consequently, a Williamette processor running at 1600 MHZ = 2400 MHZ pentium 2. Therefore a 12 fold increase represents 2 * 2 * 2 * .5 = 67.5 elo + 67.5 + 67.5 + 33.75 = (240.25 elo) + 28 elo for the increased hash tables = 28 elo + 268.25 elo + 2576 elo = 2844.25 elo, OK. Matt Frank Matt Frank
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