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Subject: Re: This Opening book of Harry is very interesting !

Author: Sandro Necchi

Date: 13:43:22 03/29/05

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On March 29, 2005 at 16:36:03, Thomas Mayer wrote:

>Hi Sandro,
>
>On March 29, 2005 at 11:22:57, Sandro Necchi wrote:
>
>>On March 29, 2005 at 06:58:46, WAEL  DEEB wrote:
>>
>>>Hi,
>>>Thank you for your accurate observations....
>>>The information that the author didn't use a pgn files for creating his opening
>>>book is a BIG speculation,as he thinks that we are some kind of idiots or
>>>something :-(
>>>The statistics from the saved games results of the pgn are there....
>>>Cheers,
>>>Dr.Wael Deeb
>>
>>About statistics:
>>
>>if a move has 99% score out of 100 games? Is it good?
>>
>>If yes, what about if game 100th was the confutation?
>
>that's why I always think about kind of a 2 pass book compiler. After having
>compiled the hole pgn set it could walk again through the openings and look for
>refutations -> e.g. when a move scores 75% but one of the opponent moves scores
>even higher for the other site, the automated compiler should consider this...
>-> of course this is far away from being perfect, but I think this could help
>book cookers a bit in there complicate task to optimize a book.
>
>Greets, Thomas

Well, I have found statistics about 20% correct. Yes, 80% not correct.

There are several reasons to explain this:

1. The opponent found the correct answer/replies and the variation/move is not
playable anymore.
2. The positions are not well understood by the program/different human player
(we are creating the book for).
3. Those positions do not suit the program/human player style.
4. The resulting endgames are not well handled by the program/human player.
5. There are better replies than those considered which are found by
computers/available.

This is why I do not rely on statistics about openings.

Sandro



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