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Subject: Re: Linear rating increase w/ linear speed increase?

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 20:01:56 01/27/00

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On January 27, 2000 at 22:49:11, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On January 27, 2000 at 22:43:22, Chris Carson wrote:
>>On January 27, 2000 at 22:17:25, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>Have you done a correlational coefficient?
>>>
>>>It might also be interesting to calculate prediction and confidence intervals.
>>
>>Yes:
>>
>>Regression
>>Analysis
>>R =	1.00    Correlation Coef.
>>SEM =	18.1    Error of measure (2 SEM = 95% confidence)
>>Slope =	231.4   (number of SSDF points per 6x speedup, or per ply)
>>                (this means 77 points for 2x speed increase)
>>                (this would be for both hw and programming improvements)
>>Y intercept =	272.8
>>
>>Note: The regression analysis changes slightly as the SSDF continues
>>testing (new lists), but not a whole lot (maybe 10% over time).
>
>I doubt the figures.  A 1.00 correlation coefficient is a perfect correlation.
>Something *must* be amiss.  No measured data ever correlates perfectly.

Regression
Analysis
R =	0.9971
SEM =	18.0602
Slope =	231.4427
Y intercept =	272.8312

At two significant digits the factor was 1.00, I expanded to
two more digets out and as you can see, it is not a perfect
one, however, please check my analysis, I am not perfect.  :)

A pure r=1.0 would yield a SEM=0, that was not the case.  :)

I can expand more digits, but I am not sure the additional
accruacy is meaningful.  :)

Best Regards,
Chris Carson




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