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Subject: Re: SSDF Fritz 6 K6-2 - Shredder 2 P200MMX game 7-11/40 Now: 9,5 - 1,5

Author: blass uri

Date: 17:10:17 02/23/00

Go up one level in this thread


On February 23, 2000 at 19:54:40, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On February 23, 2000 at 19:49:38, blass uri wrote:
>[snip]
>>I know that the theory is based on mathematics but it is possible to do a
>>different theory that say that
>>
>>if people with 2400 earn 36% of the points against people with 2500
>>and people with 2300 earn 36% of the points against people with 2400
>>then
>>people with 2300 earn 26% of the points against people with 2500
>>
>>I see no reason to assume that 24% is correct and not 26% or 22% unless 24% is
>>based on practical results of games and I know that the probabilities are not
>>based on practical results of games(I know that the probabilities are based on
>>the assumption that the ability of players has a normal distribution with 200
>>wlo standard deviation)
>>
>>The only way to have a better guess about the probabilities is to count results
>>of games between people with 100 elo difference and between people with 200 elo
>>difference but I do not know about somebody who did it.
>
>The way the ELO figures are computed is from actual games.  Since the games are
>used to compute the curves, the results are accurate.  Of course, they do
>require a huge number of trials to get an accurate figure.
>
>In other words, the actual games themselves determine the ELO, not the other way
>around.

Suppose that a wins against b 64:36
b wins against c 64:36

The question is what is the expected result of a against c based only on this
information.

If it is not 76:24 then the rating is based on wrong assumptions.

I do not know about investigation of the results between a and c

It is possible to find the differnece in elo rating that produce practically
64:36(suppose it is 100 elo)
now it is possible to check if differnece of 200 elo gives result that is
practically different then 76:24

Uri







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