Author: Pete Galati
Date: 16:33:49 02/29/00
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On February 29, 2000 at 18:00:39, Dann Corbit wrote: >On February 29, 2000 at 17:32:29, Robert Hyatt wrote: > >>On February 29, 2000 at 11:40:46, Ed Panek wrote: >>[snip] >>>Unless there is some incredible watershed breakthrough in processor technology >>> >>>Ed >> >>True. But I have been involved in computing since 1968, and there has been >>no "incredible watershed breakthrough in processor technology" for the past 32 >>years. Nothing suggests (to me) that one is forthcoming within the next 10+ >>years. > >Depends on how you use the term "incredible breakthrough." > >I think we are getting double the power every year due to one incredible >breakthrough after another. If we miss a year of incredible breakthroughs, then >there will be little or no increase that year. > >In order to make something run twice as fast, some pretty incredible things have >to happen, and they all have to happen together. > >Put a 10x CPU on a 1x motherboard and see how tiny the performance increase is. > >CPU, cache, memory, busses, etc. It's all tied together. > >We are accustomed to an exponential increase in compute power. What spoiled >brats we are! >;-) Maybe the "incredible breakthrough" that's needed would be a cartoon-like shrink-ray to shrink the size of a mainframe computer down to a desktop model, the problem with that would be that _everything_ would shrink, that would cause problems, but with a cartoon shrink-ray for some reason, those problems are never really an obvious problem. Honey, I shrunk the mainframe. Not again! Pete
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