Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 15:00:39 02/29/00
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On February 29, 2000 at 17:32:29, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On February 29, 2000 at 11:40:46, Ed Panek wrote: >[snip] >>Unless there is some incredible watershed breakthrough in processor technology >> >>Ed > >True. But I have been involved in computing since 1968, and there has been >no "incredible watershed breakthrough in processor technology" for the past 32 >years. Nothing suggests (to me) that one is forthcoming within the next 10+ >years. Depends on how you use the term "incredible breakthrough." I think we are getting double the power every year due to one incredible breakthrough after another. If we miss a year of incredible breakthroughs, then there will be little or no increase that year. In order to make something run twice as fast, some pretty incredible things have to happen, and they all have to happen together. Put a 10x CPU on a 1x motherboard and see how tiny the performance increase is. CPU, cache, memory, busses, etc. It's all tied together. We are accustomed to an exponential increase in compute power. What spoiled brats we are! ;-)
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