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Subject: Re: Some analysis of Deep Fritz for kasparov-deeper blue first game

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 06:43:33 05/07/01

Go up one level in this thread


On May 07, 2001 at 03:19:05, Uri Blass wrote:

>On May 06, 2001 at 23:53:59, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On May 06, 2001 at 19:46:43, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>
>>>On May 06, 2001 at 02:28:14, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>I gave Deep Fritz to analyze similiar number of nodes to Deeper blue and Deep
>>>>Fritz seems to be clearly better in tactics.
>>>>
>>>>Deep Fritz needs only 191728 knodes to see the line Rf5+ Ke3
>>>>It means only 1 second if I asuume 200,000,000 nodes per second.
>>>>
>>>>I believe that Rf5+ failed low at depth 17 for Deeper blue for the reason Ke3.
>>>>The pv of deeper blue at smaller depthes is Rf5+ Ke2
>>>
>>>11 ply for those who are good in math and a bit more real to the world.
>>
>>Uri is correct.  Unless you _still_ dispute the direct statement(s) by the
>>Deep Blue team.
>>
>>
>>
>>>
>>>>Deep Fritz probably does better extensions than Deeper blue because Deep Fritz
>>>>see big fail low at depth 16.
>>>
>>>Fritz hardly has dangerous extensions.
>>>
>>>Diep has. note i am not extending passers much. Just a bit and only
>>>now and then.
>>>
>>>The Big fail low comes at 12 ply for DIEP. Then it sees Rf5 is losing
>>>because of Ke3 though it initially wants to go e3. Then i did a state
>>>check to see what the deepest search lines are. You can see it
>>>yourself:
>>
>>
>>What does any of this matter?  Their score was bad... yours is bad, black
>>is lost...  I don't see where you see it any faster than they did...
>
>I see that Deeper blue score is clearly better than the score of other programs
>after search.
>
>Deeper blue said only 2.1 pawns for white after 73 seconds of search when other
>programs has no problem to see clearly better score for white.


You are making the same mistake _everyone_ makes.  Taking scores to be an
absolute assessment of the truth.  IE try Vincent's scores.  And compare them
to mine.  I have seen many games where we were different by 1-2 pawns, and
more often than not mine has been right.  It is _easy_ to cause this.

I take the more practical approach of "+ is good for white, - is good for black"
but I don't fall into the trap of +1.7 here is much better than 1.4 by that
program.  IE don't look for an eval to be an "absolute" evaluation of the
position.  To do so is a _big_ mistake.




>
>I can explain 1 pawn difference or even 1.5 pawns difference by different
>evaluation but the difference between Crafty's evaluation(4.22) and their
>evaluation(2.1 after 73 seconds)  is more than 2 pawns(I mean to the evaluation
>of Rf5+) and it can be explained only by the fact that crafty could see deeper.
>



It has nothing to do with depth most likely.  It has to do with evaluation.
Crafty is asymmetric.  They were not.  That most likely is _the_ reason for
the difference.




>Their score at depth 15 is only 1.63 for white so if you compare same depth then
>it is clear that Crafty did better extensions than deeper blue.

You are diagnosing the disease without _ever_ seeing the patient.  _any_ doctor
will tell you that is an unforgivable sin that leads to dire consequences.




>
>If you do not like depth 15 of move 43 because of the bug that cause deeper blue
>to play Rd1 you can take depth 11(6)=17 at move 42 abd you find there a score of
>only 1.36 pawns for white.
>
>I assume that 11(6) means depth 17 with futility pruning and in this case the
>top programs of today clearly do better extensions than deeper blue.
>
>Uri


Based on what?  You can _not_ see at _least_ the last 1/3 of their PV, or in
the case of 11(6) the last 6 plies + the q-search.. so all you can use to
make a conclusion is the absolute value of their score.  Cray Blitz was _far_
more conservative in scoring than Crafty is.  It would be quite common for
Crafty to say +3 and Cray Blitz to say +1, with the _exact_ same PV.  I don't
see how you can conclude _anything_ with no data...

I don't try to understand what they are seeing there since I (a) don't know what
their positional eval terms are;  (b) I can't see about 1/2 of their PV in most
cases;  (c) due to (b) I am stuck with (a).  In short, trying to deduce some-
thing from their output is nearly impossible.





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