Author: Don Gaetke
Date: 19:52:18 04/23/98
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On April 23, 1998 at 20:12:27, Robert Hyatt wrote: >>>A couple of points: (1) Until the "IBM" days, information about the >>>internals was readily available. A chapter of a book here, a journal >>>article there... chiptest/deep thought/deep thought 2 and so forth were >>>well written-up. (2) today, there's little chance of a micro beating a >>>top-5 GM in a match. It is unlikely in a single game, unless the match >>>is long enough (and I'm *not* talking about blitz games, there they have >>>a chance).. >> >>Actually, I was referring to the "performance" on the board. >>Information on DeepeBlue2 as a chess player has been scant, which is >>consistant with the overall history of the project. >> >>Average GM's are already threatened today at tournament level, in 6 >>months to a year the top 5 will be as well thanks to some serious speed >>increases just over the horizon. >> >>Don > > > >IMHO, you should change 6 months to a year to 6-10 years. The Micros >are *not* a factor of two away from playing evenly with GM players yet. >Not even close... Oh? Well don't tell GM Larry C. that, or any of the "weak" GM's who lost at AEGON then. > >We already have a PII/400 at the office. Intel says 450 late this >year, and (possibly) Merced next year. We already have machines as >fast as merced... they are spelled "alpha"... no one's *close* to a >GM yet... There is something in the works related to copper technology as a "new conductor" for computer hardware. The result will be an entirely new level of speed formerly unheard of in PCs. The claim is that 1000mhz+ CPU's speeds will be easily obtainable in the near future, i.e. within 12-24 months. Don
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