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Subject: Re: Comment on Fritz - Junior

Author: Peter Berger

Date: 00:02:46 07/03/01

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On July 03, 2001 at 00:08:22, Christoph Fieberg wrote:

>In the Fritz - Junior match I wondered how likely it is that a (at least) 5
>point lead during the match will be (at least) egalized at the end (provided
>both players are equal in strength).
>
>I simulated 200.000 matches with my program and such an event occurred only 961
>times! The likelihood therefore is a mere 0,48%! (Chance 208 : 1)
>
>Was in spite of such a result the devolution of the Fritz - Junior match really
>random? I could understand if it is questioned.
>
>Regards,
>Christoph

Could you calculate another one,please ? Given the fact that one program won
_the first five_ games how likely is it that the loser will win the match ?

This should definitely be even worse.

pete



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