Author: Ricardo Gibert
Date: 01:52:12 04/19/05
Go up one level in this thread
On April 19, 2005 at 04:00:45, Uri Blass wrote: >On April 19, 2005 at 03:34:43, Drexel,Michael wrote: > >>On April 18, 2005 at 21:05:10, Dann Corbit wrote: >> >>>On April 18, 2005 at 20:50:52, Mark Ryan wrote: >>> >>>>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4449711.stm >>>> >>>>"But when Moore's Law is effectively slowed down in about 10 to 20 years' time >>>>..." >>>> >>>>A few years ago, Grandmaster Lev Alburt stated that chess computers would never >>>>be stronger than the strongest humans. If there is a practical (or asymptotic) >>>>limit to computer speed, maybe he was right. >>>> >>>>(Disclaimer: I realize that chess strength is not just about speed, but it is >>>>certainly a contributing factor.) >>> >>>In ten years time, computers will be 2^10 = 1024 times faster than today. >>>Right now, chess programs seem to be about as strong as the strongest humans> >> >>How fast was your PC 10 years ago? >>2.4 Mhz? > >more than it. > >I remember that 10 years ago P90 was available >and I guess that the price was similiar to the price of computers of today. According to http://cpu-museum.de/?m=Intel&f=Pentium-S+%2F+P54C#cpu0007 the P120 was introduced in 1995. This means that clock speed has roughly doubled every 2 years. > >I see no logical reason to believe that computers will be 2^10 faster in 10 >years. > >Maybe there is going to be a third world war and people will destroy even the >computers of today so computers will be slower in 2015. > >Uri
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