Author: Uri Blass
Date: 01:00:45 04/19/05
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On April 19, 2005 at 03:34:43, Drexel,Michael wrote: >On April 18, 2005 at 21:05:10, Dann Corbit wrote: > >>On April 18, 2005 at 20:50:52, Mark Ryan wrote: >> >>>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4449711.stm >>> >>>"But when Moore's Law is effectively slowed down in about 10 to 20 years' time >>>..." >>> >>>A few years ago, Grandmaster Lev Alburt stated that chess computers would never >>>be stronger than the strongest humans. If there is a practical (or asymptotic) >>>limit to computer speed, maybe he was right. >>> >>>(Disclaimer: I realize that chess strength is not just about speed, but it is >>>certainly a contributing factor.) >> >>In ten years time, computers will be 2^10 = 1024 times faster than today. >>Right now, chess programs seem to be about as strong as the strongest humans> > >How fast was your PC 10 years ago? >2.4 Mhz? more than it. I remember that 10 years ago P90 was available and I guess that the price was similiar to the price of computers of today. I see no logical reason to believe that computers will be 2^10 faster in 10 years. Maybe there is going to be a third world war and people will destroy even the computers of today so computers will be slower in 2015. Uri
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