Author: Drexel,Michael
Date: 00:34:43 04/19/05
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On April 18, 2005 at 21:05:10, Dann Corbit wrote: >On April 18, 2005 at 20:50:52, Mark Ryan wrote: > >>http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4449711.stm >> >>"But when Moore's Law is effectively slowed down in about 10 to 20 years' time >>..." >> >>A few years ago, Grandmaster Lev Alburt stated that chess computers would never >>be stronger than the strongest humans. If there is a practical (or asymptotic) >>limit to computer speed, maybe he was right. >> >>(Disclaimer: I realize that chess strength is not just about speed, but it is >>certainly a contributing factor.) > >In ten years time, computers will be 2^10 = 1024 times faster than today. >Right now, chess programs seem to be about as strong as the strongest humans> How fast was your PC 10 years ago? 2.4 Mhz? Michael >What happens if you wire 1024 of those machines together? What happens if you >build Hsu/Campbell's chips with the processes of that day? > >So in a worst case scenario, computers will stomp the stuffings out of the >strongest humans. > >I doubt very much if Moore's law will quit in less than 100 years. >But that is pure conjecture, of course. >http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/meme/memelist.html?m%3D1
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