Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 18:05:10 04/18/05
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On April 18, 2005 at 20:50:52, Mark Ryan wrote: >http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4449711.stm > >"But when Moore's Law is effectively slowed down in about 10 to 20 years' time >..." > >A few years ago, Grandmaster Lev Alburt stated that chess computers would never >be stronger than the strongest humans. If there is a practical (or asymptotic) >limit to computer speed, maybe he was right. > >(Disclaimer: I realize that chess strength is not just about speed, but it is >certainly a contributing factor.) In ten years time, computers will be 2^10 = 1024 times faster than today. Right now, chess programs seem to be about as strong as the strongest humans. What happens if you wire 1024 of those machines together? What happens if you build Hsu/Campbell's chips with the processes of that day? So in a worst case scenario, computers will stomp the stuffings out of the strongest humans. I doubt very much if Moore's law will quit in less than 100 years. But that is pure conjecture, of course. http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/meme/memelist.html?m%3D1
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