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Subject: Re: Moore's Law coming to an end?

Author: Ricardo Gibert

Date: 02:32:24 04/20/05

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On April 20, 2005 at 02:48:05, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On April 20, 2005 at 01:35:32, Robin Smith wrote:
>
>>On April 18, 2005 at 21:05:10, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>I doubt very much if Moore's law will quit in less than 100 years.
>>
>>You can't be serious.
>
>Serious as cancer.
>
>Not that we'll be using ICs in 100 years.  They will look like relays would look
>today for a computing machine, I am sure.

Moore's law has to do with feature size and if you do a calculation assuming
Moore's law holds out for 100 years, you will perhaps determine the feature size
to be smaller than a quark, which is rather improbable.

What is relevant is function and capacity. For example, moving from base 2 logic
to base 4 would double function and capacity while leaving feature size the
same. BTW, isn't DNA base 4? If so, not an unreasonable idea I would say.



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