Author: Chris Carson
Date: 06:02:51 01/06/00
Go up one level in this thread
On January 05, 2000 at 16:36:33, Robert Hyatt wrote: >On January 05, 2000 at 15:11:43, Chris Carson wrote: > >>Your opinion is valued. :) >> >>Take a look at some of the tournament performance >>ratings (TPR) of some of the programs (Genius, Junior, Rebel, >>Tiger, Hiarcs, and others). See the computer resource center, >>rebel web page, Gambit Soft tournaments page and U pitt. Take >>a look a the AEGON and other events. Also take a look at the >>ratings on ICC. Top programs have high ratings there. :) >> >>Be prepared to be shocked. Sometimes the programs have high >>TPR's (above SSDF ratings). Critics call these an aberation. >>Sometimes the programs have lower than SSDF ratings. Critics >>call this the norm. I think both are expected and normal, >>just as human ratings fluctuate within expected norms. :) >> >>Best Regards, >>Chris Carson > > >This is bad statistical methodology however. If you pick any program of your >choice from Aegon, I will pick one to offset it. For any 2600TPR you find, I >will find one with a 2200 TPR. That is the problem. Statistics looks at the >averages, not at individual data points. And the average is way below 2600. > >As far as ICC goes, Crafty has been over 3250 there. I doubt it would have a >prayer in hell of doing that in FIDE events, running on a T932 even. Bob, You make some good points (as always). :) My point was that a 2600 TPR can be found (and I am not surprised based on SSDF ratings given 95% or 99.7% confidence levels) for some programs. I agree that 2200 TPR's can also be found. :) I consider both ends of the spread valid for the programs associated with the numbers. :) I think we agree. :) Best Regards, Chris Carson
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