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Subject: Re: Kasparov's manager answers Hsu

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 21:58:50 01/14/00

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On January 14, 2000 at 22:32:40, James Robertson wrote:

>On January 14, 2000 at 19:53:34, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>On January 14, 2000 at 09:31:43, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>On January 14, 2000 at 02:20:09, James Robertson wrote:
>>[snip]
>>>>I find it impossible to believe that he is the only human who is capable of
>>>>doing this.
>>>
>>>Think about this:  How long did it take him to become able to do this?  At
>>>least 12 years.  How long would it take someone _new_ to catch up to his
>>>skills at this?  About 12 years.
>>
>>I think "anyone could have done it" is a bit of a reach.
>
>Who's quote is this? It certainly isn't mine.
>
>>There are two reasons
>>that I say this.  First, nobody else *did* it with the success that he had.  If
>>they could have, why didn't they?
>
>$$$
>

That is bogus.  Chiptest cost CMU practically nothing.  It was built from
spare parts in the robotics lab.  Deep Thought ended up costing about 5,000
dollars roughly.

Ed built a special board for a PC, "chessmachine".  Hsu just took it to a
whole new level.  And the entire plan was in place before they left CMU for
IBM.  IBM hired the entire Deep Thought team, and bought into the 'plan' before
hiring them.

money wasn't all this required to happen.




>>
>>The second reason is that 'could have' does not connect with 'would have.'
>>For instance, Bill Pugh invented the skiplist in the 1980's.  Hoare invented
>>quicksort in the 1960's.  The concepts are simple.  Many people "could have"
>>invented those things.  But they didn't.  Why not?
>>
>>* Lacked effort
>>* Lacked interest
>>* Lacked time
>>* Lacked money
>>* Lacked <whatever>
>>
>>If the Laser and Teflon had not been invented by their inventors would we have
>>found them by now?  Probably, but maybe not.  In any case the proof of the
>>pudding is in the eating.  Hsu's pudding was the best tasting ever, unless you
>>happen to be Kasparov.  Apparently, he's not in any big rush for a second
>>helping.
>>;-)
>>
>>
>>[snip]
>
>This is the wrong way to look at it. There is _one_ way to make Teflon. There
>are unlimited possibilities for a chess computer. Just because Hsu invented one
>way does not mean there are not many many other ways.
>
>James


Who cares there.  There is one way that certainly works, by demonstration.  I
don't want to wait for a roomful of monkeys to produce an alternative approach
that also works.  Alpha/beta has stood the test of time.  DB was built around
what works...




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